Things I've found that work for me in picking upsets in my brackets most years. Pick little schools that 1) win a LOT and 2) have a guard that can get a bucket whenever he wants. The other - and this is arguably the biggest one in my opinion - is to pick AGAINST the high seeds you don't like...
I've got Cal Baptist and Hofstra today (partly because I believe it's possible and partly because I was picking St Johns and Tech through to the sweet 16 anyways)
I'm not saying it is a perfect job, but Syracuse does have more resources than South Florida - and a much higher ceiling. Hodgson likely believes he can hold out for a better job and why wouldn't he? He's only been at USF one year and probably doesn't feel like he needs to jump ship just yet.
Providence and Syracuse are both capable of producing resources that can win more than USF and St Louis. As is Kansas State (already filled) and a number of other programs that have or will have openings this offseason. I think USF and St Louis are at about where their ceilings are currently.
No disagreement here that if Brent and the football team have a bad year this year that discussions should be had, but at this point I actually am bought into the trajectory of the team. I believe as long as we have Brent here, the defense will be very good. He strung together many back to back...
Season 1: Recovery season post-Riley where he inherited one of the worst P5 defenses in the country and quite literally no QBs (6-6)
Season 2: Built some momentum, defense shows improvement, get some stability on the offensive side, show progress (10-2)
Season 3: Much improved defense but...
It may be cheaper (haven't looked at the numbers myself to know either way), but that doesn't matter if revenue falls off a cliff. The margin still won't be there. And I don't think it was added resources that caused the turnaround, it was Venables correcting for a bad OC hire and losing a bet...
Uh... you know what else is there? The expectations. In what world would it be acceptable for OU to go 4 out of 5 years without making the playoff in football (which is much more difficult than qualifying for March Madness)? The football job places the weight of the world on the shoulders of...
Not to poke the bear here because I know it's a sensitive topic right now, but this is not in any way an apples to apples comparison. BV has been an elite defensive playcaller his ENTIRE career, but had to learn how to manage an entire program. We've seen some of those bumps along the way, but...
Here is the thing that I don't think is being addressed here in these conversations. Yes, we are very hot right now, but what has happened over the last five years that has made anyone truly think this is going to get better under Moser in years to come? Moser has never finished with an above...
My take on the Miami (OH) thing, which admittedly is worth nothing. They went 31-0 in the regular season. No matter how easy/difficult the schedule is, if that was easy then it would happen way more often than it does. There are 68 teams in the tournament. If you can't make room for a team that...