Ken Pom loves us

[pnkranger]

Ranked 9, even with the drag of bad "luck" in his ratings.

Last year, 10 of top 11 teams in Ken Pom made the sweet sixteen. No guarantee for us, but it does give me hope that, while we haven't necessarily seen the results all year long, that we've never been too far off.

Jeff Sagarin favors us as well, despite the loss. RPI numbers are starting to align with this, thanks to our SOS. Survive and advance.

 

[1390]

6 conference wins by an average of 20 points..4 of those games were vs teams that were ranked at the time..it's definitely trending upward for this team..need this kind of focus Saturday in fort worth..

 

[DenverSooner]

Just beat TCU

 

[152219]

This is how good OU's offense was last night. Typically in Kenpom's ratings this late in the season you don't see big swing in ratings unless you have an outstanding game or a stinkbomb. Yesterday, OU went from having the 49th rated offense to the 40th. The defense stayed at #5.

 

[ChongoChingi]

The Sooners go the way of their defense. If their intensity is up and they are excited to be playing defense then they are an excellent team. It is amazing to me the difference in the defense of the team over just the last couple of years. They have the ability to be such a great offensive team that its crazy to think they might even be better at defense.

 

[j2d2]

The Sooners go the way of their defense. If their intensity is up and they are excited to be playing defense then they are an excellent team. It is amazing to me the difference in the defense of the team over just the last couple of years. They have the ability to be such a great offensive team that its crazy to think they might even be better at defense.

It seems to me that when we're playing really good defense, it gives the offense a big boost.

 

[DenverSooner]

Defense is always the key. OU scored 100 points per game under Tubbs when the defense was forcing turn overs.

 

[stormspencer]

Ranked 9, even with the drag of bad "luck" in his ratings.

Last year, 10 of top 11 teams in Ken Pom made the sweet sixteen. No guarantee for us, but it does give me hope that, while we haven't necessarily seen the results all year long, that we've never been too far off.

Jeff Sagarin favors us as well, despite the loss. RPI numbers are starting to align with this, thanks to our SOS. Survive and advance.

And this is the reason that Kenpom's ratings are one of the most highly respected....and commonly quoted by various analysts regardless of the network. He usually has most of the correct teams around the top of his ratings who then go out and perform well in the tournament. There are always disappointments and outliers with any rating system, but the metrics he uses definitely decrease the margin for error when talking about future probabilities for most teams.

 

[ChongoChingi]

Just noticed that Tulsa's RPI is 42. That has ended up being a nice win. They are on a big winning streak.
OSU's RPI is 41. :ez-roll:

 

[MI Sooner]

Ranked 9, even with the drag of bad "luck" in his ratings.

Last year, 10 of top 11 teams in Ken Pom made the sweet sixteen. No guarantee for us, but it does give me hope that, while we haven't necessarily seen the results all year long, that we've never been too far off.

Jeff Sagarin favors us as well, despite the loss. RPI numbers are starting to align with this, thanks to our SOS. Survive and advance.

I believe that KenPom computes his ratings from per possession offensive and defensive efficiency stats, adjusted for the strength of competition. He then uses those and pace number to figure out what your record "should be," compares it to your actual record, and the difference goes in his "luck" column. So "luck" is an output, not an input of his formula. It would be similar to comparing Sagarin's predictor and ELO chess ratings. Teams that are higher in predictor than ELO chess have been "unlucky."