Are you saying OKC would be the underdog with Westbrook? If so, that's a bit nuts. They were barely an underdog without him. An hour before tipoff yesterday, I checked the lines on two online books. The series prices on one site was Memphis -130/OKC +110 and Memphis -130/OKC +100 on another. The breakeven threshold for a -130 bet is 56.5%. In other words, Memphis wasn't even a 60% favorite without Westbrook.
Don't get me wrong: Memphis is a tough matchup for OKC, with or without Westbrook. Memphis is a tough matchup for everyone, because that defense always keeps them in games, but the Grizzlies also have flaws that will keep them in dog fights with teams that they should seemingly handle with relative ease, such as OKC without Westbrook. Memphis lacks outside shooting and an elite perimeter player. That's why they have an average to below average offense despite two outstanding offensive bigs. Also, their best perimeter defender can't play big minutes because he exacerbates their lack of spacing.
Before Game 1, I thought Memphis would win in 6, but that it was a winnable series for OKC. After Game 1, I still have a hard time picking against Memphis, even though the odds are now in OKC's favor. I don't think Conley will continue to play so poorly, and I'm curious to see whether Kevin Martin's renewed aggression was simply an aberration or the product of him finally realizing that he has to be the #2 option to relieve Durant's burden with Westbrook out. With both teams having about a 36 hour turnaround from Round 1 to Round 2, we probably shouldn't read too much into Game 1.