Our schedule thus far

[seniorsooner]

I calculated the cumulative winning percentage of opponents played by each team in the conference thus far, and these are the results:

Texas .605
Kansas .600
OU .589
Tech .573
KSU .555
Mizzou .525
OSU .459
A&M .452
Iowa St .449
Colorado .446
Nebraska .440
Baylor .400 (Baylor has only played 6 games)

This shows that teams like Iowa St, Nebraska and even Oklahoma State have feasted on inferior competition thus far while teams like OU and Texas Tech have suffered. While this doesn't change the fact that we lost to Chaminade and nearly lost to East Popcorn St, it perhaps provides some hope that this team will be well seasoned by the start of conference play.

 

[StatGeek]

good work

 

[Dignon003]

But did you then go to those opponents and see who they lost to?

School A may have lost to Villanova by 3

While School B might have lost to High Point University by 2

 

[seniorsooner]

No, I don't have quite THAT much time on my hands. This certainly isn't supposed to be an all encompassing statistical analysis, I just thought it was interesting.

 

[qwertyqaz]

But did you then go to those opponents and see who they lost to?

School A may have lost to Villanova by 3

While School B might have lost to High Point University by 2

Excellent point.

Ranked by strength of schedule:


Kansas-39
KSU-57
Texas-88
Mizzou-94
OU-128
Texas Tech-161
A&M-169
Baylor-185
Nebraska-194
OSu-208
Iowa State-255
Colorado-264

 

[seniorsooner]

Colorado must really stink.

 

[oSuJeff97]

This shows that teams like Iowa St, Nebraska and even Oklahoma State have feasted on inferior competition thus far while teams like OU and Texas Tech have suffered.

I don't know if I'd exactly go that far.

Most teams have only played 9-10 games so far. With such a small sample size, having only 1-2 really bad teams on a schedule can really drag your SOS down.

The top-end of OSU's schedule might not have anyone as good as Kentucky or Arizona, but it's not like we've played a bunch of chumps.

We've played five teams that could all be at least considered bubble teams for the NCAA Tournament. Virginia Tech, Missouri State and Murray State are all likely to be in the Tournament.

La Salle and Tulsa will be bubble teams and have a chance if they do well in conference play.

Of those five games, only one was played at home.

(Also - who exactly has Tech played, outside of Washington?)

 

[seniorsooner]

I don't know about LaSalle, but there's no way in hail Tulsa will be anywhere near the bubble.

 

[oSuJeff97]

I don't know about LaSalle, but there's no way in hail Tulsa will be anywhere near the bubble.

I think La Salle will have a shot to make it out of the A10.

Their only losses besides OSU are on the road to Baylor (by 9), neutral to Mizzou (by 11), and then last night they lost by 3 at Villanova... a game they were leading inside of 5 minutes.

Their SOS will be high enough... if they can finish in the top 2-3 in the A-10 they'll have a shot as an at-large. (The A-10 has been a multi-bid conference in the past).

They'll be fighting it out with Temple and Xavier.

And yeah - now that I think about it, it might be a bit much to consider Tulsa a bubble team. If Idlet gets back to full strength, they might have a chance to make some noise in C-USA.

But after losing to Princeton, they'll need to knock off Wichita State and TCU to even have an outside chance of an at-large.