Definitely must wins I would say. We have to come out of non-conference with no more than 5 losses or we are in big, big trouble. We've already got 3, and we have the following tough non-conf games left:
Arkansas
Zona
@ Utah
UTEP
@ Gonzaga
I would be shocked if we beat Gonzaga, which means we have to take no less than 3 out of 4 in the other 4 games. 5 losses in non-conference likely means we have to go 10-6 in the league to get in. 9-7 would put you at 12 losses with some BAD losses in non-conf and I don't think that would be good enough to get in.