From The Athletic:
7. New Orleans Pelicans
Jeremiah Fears | 6-3 guard | 18 years old | Oklahoma
Vecenie’s ranking: 18
I’m going to be lower on Fears than probably anybody in the public sphere, although his stock is much more split among NBA decision-makers than the public would lead you to believe. That’s because with small, on-ball-only players — and I believe that’s what he is — you either buy into them as potential All-Star lead guards or you don’t. If you don’t, you probably see them as more likely to be bench scorers, which diminishes their value drastically. Think about how narrow that line is for Collin Sexton, who had a more impressive freshman season at Alabama than Fears did at Oklahoma. Sexton has developed into a lights-out shooter and works hard on defense. But because he’s so small, he isn’t quite good enough as a passer and struggles to defend. He has never been part of a winning team as a starting guard.
With how I evaluate players and value the ability to dribble, pass, shoot and defend on top of having positional size, Fears ultimately doesn’t clear the line because of his shooting struggles, finishing problems and significant defensive deficiencies. I don’t deny that Fears will likely be a productive NBA player at some point. There’s a solid chance he averages more than 17 points and five assists per game eventually. He’s that crafty and skilled as a ballhandler. It’s exceptionally difficult to stay in front of him.
However, I think we’re probably quite a long way from that occurring, given how young he is. More importantly, there is such a narrow path toward winning in the NBA with this type of player in a prominent role. His development essentially has to go perfectly from this point for him to be an All-Star; otherwise, he’s probably coming off the bench on a good team. Maybe he will continue to work his way into being that player and I’ll look stupid for having him here. It’s entirely possible. Ultimately, though, he is the kind of player I’m comfortable missing out on.
Hollinger’s analysis: I like Fears’ upside, ranking him fifth on my board and the best player available, and think this is a worthwhile pick for a Pelicans franchise that needs talent in the backcourt and faces a question mark in Dejounte Murray’s recovery from a torn Achilles. However, it does undoubtedly raise questions about the defense with a Fears-Jordan Poole combo in the backcourt and Zion Williamson up front.