Next 5 Opponents: 19-2 in conference

[pnkranger]

And three of those games are on the road. If we go 1-4 or 2-3 in this stretch, we should be in great shape to make the tourney: our last 8 games are against opponents with a combined 11-27 conference record. Away games in that series are @TCU, @Tech, @Texas (1 combined win in conference) and @OSU.

We'll have the easiest stretch run of any team in the Big 12.

First 5: 4-1
Middle 5: 1-4
Final 8: 5-3

We'll be 10-8 in that scenario, which is not a shocking scenario. ANY + change puts us at 11 wins or more, which should get us into the Dance.

 

[OUHoops]

Great stuff.

 

[boksooner]

I think OU needs to go 2-3 during this stretch to feel good about the NCAA tourney. That's a good shot at 11+ wins in conference with 2+ quality wins. If OU goes 0-5, i think they are NIT bound. To me, 1-4 puts OU on the bubble and would probably require a win or two in the conference tournament.

 

[BoulderSooner]

great except that the next 5 opponents and combined 16-3

 

[TheGimper]

great except that the next 5 opponents and combined 16-3

You're both wrong.
Kansas 5-0 (x2)
Baylor 4-1
KSU 4-1
ISU 3-1

21-3

 

[badger]

Regardless of the numbers, should I find a corner suitable for hiding and crying, or are we going to go through this gauntlet a la football Red October 2000?

 

[TheGimper]

Regardless of the numbers, should I find a corner suitable for hiding and crying, or are we going to go through this gauntlet a la football Red October 2000?

Get ready to cry.

 

[badger]

Get ready to cry.

All the smileys this board has and there's none for crying

 

[Escape Goat]

I think OU needs to go 2-3 during this stretch to feel good about the NCAA tourney. That's a good shot at 11+ wins in conference with 2+ quality wins. If OU goes 0-5, i think they are NIT bound. To me, 1-4 puts OU on the bubble and would probably require a win or two in the conference tournament.

That's a good barometer:

5-0 In
4-1 In
3-2 In
2-3 Bubble
1-4 Bubble
0-5 Out

Of course this depends on who, if any, are the W's.

 

[stormspencer]

Get ready to cry.

There's no crying in basketball (Tom Hanks)

 

[Boomer]

We better batten down the hatches. It's going to get ugly with the fans, but as long as the team keeps their spirits we can play good in the last stretch and make the tourny.

 

[152219]

Due to the relative weakness of the Big 12, I'm not sure if 10-8 gets OU in the dance unless they win at least 2 in the Big 12 tourney. 11-7 is a firm bubble team and probably one of that gets in the tourney. Anything better than 11-7 and OU is playing for a seed.

 

[pnkranger]

That's a good barometer:

5-0 In
4-1 In
3-2 In
2-3 Bubble
1-4 Bubble
0-5 Out

Of course this depends on who, if any, are the W's.

This is a good analysis. I would add:

5-0 4 seed or better
4-1 6 seed or better
3-2 10 seed or better
2-3 Bubble (9-11 seed)
1-4 Bubble (11-13 seed)
0-5 Out

 

[KBaden145]

Due to the relative weakness of the Big 12, I'm not sure if 10-8 gets OU in the dance unless they win at least 2 in the Big 12 tourney. 11-7 is a firm bubble team and probably one of that gets in the tourney. Anything better than 11-7 and OU is playing for a seed.

The more I watch other teams in this conference and then watch other conferences or games like Butler-Zags, the more I think we definitely need to get 11 wins and maybe 12 to get in the tourney. The Big 12 is not really very good this year.

 

[WTSooner]

And three of those games are on the road. If we go 1-4 or 2-3 in this stretch, we should be in great shape to make the tourney: our last 8 games are against opponents with a combined 11-27 conference record. Away games in that series are @TCU, @Tech, @Texas (1 combined win in conference) and @OSU.

We'll have the easiest stretch run of any team in the Big 12.

First 5: 4-1
Middle 5: 1-4
Final 8: 5-3

We'll be 10-8 in that scenario, which is not a shocking scenario. ANY + change puts us at 11 wins or more, which should get us into the Dance.

That is how I see it as well.

Might lose a game we shouldn't, but we might find a way to win a game most of us have as a loss too.

 

[Seymore Cox]

If you go 1-4 or 0-5 that's not the issue as much as the team confidence. 2 and 3 the team remains confident, but it's hard to get a team back it they get thumped a few times. If OU plays tough in this stretch than I say this is a for sure tournament team.