rpi

sybarite

New member
Joined
Nov 5, 2008
Messages
15,546
Reaction score
0
realtimerpi
http://www.realtimerpi.com/rpi_Women.html

There have now been enough games that the numbers are beginning to mean something. It will probably be February before they are good predictors.

NCAA rpi
http://www.ncaa.com/rankings/basketball-women/d1/ncaa-womens-basketball-rpi

OU is now #17 in one and #16 in the other.

Boston College and BYU are in the 35-40 range in both. Washington is in the top sixty.

Baylor and Texas are high in the realtimerpi, but not in the NCAA rpi.

Well, Texas is 39th in realtime - with a SOS of 169. I had no idea they had played such a weak schedule. Why is that? Our SOS in realtime is 39th. Baylor's is 60 I think - with not a single true road game played to date.

We're ahead of both in the NCAA list.
 
I wouldn't call a schedule that includes Tenn. and Miss. St as an easy schedule. We haven't played a top 20 school yet. Texas has played two.

RPI will make more sense around the middle of January.
 
I don't think Mississippi State had any business being ranked that highly based on their schedule. Thus far, they have slaughtered their opposition, with the exception of Texas. But, that opposition was:
Samford 4-3
Grambling 0-5
Mississippi Valley 0-7
Norfolk 0-6
Savannah 1-4
Tennessee St 2-4
Their opposition is 7-29. Schedule strength 312. Let's see if they can beat someone before ranking them.
 
I wouldn't call a schedule that includes Tenn. and Miss. St as an easy schedule. We haven't played a top 20 school yet. Texas has played two.

RPI will make more sense around the middle of January.

I also thought Texas had played a pretty challenging schedule until I saw this. Syb's post explains why the folks actually looking at the statistics disagree with us. And anyone who has an excellent background in math & statistics will realize that actually looking at the numbers and analyzing them is likely to produce better rankings.

Tennessee - having lots of trouble.

Mississippi State - no evidence that they are very strong.

Playing all home games? Also distorts the win/loss record - as all OU fans should have learned last year.
 
rpi does get a bit funky. Currently, Tennessee is ranked ahead of two teams that beat them in Knoxville. There is no explicable reason. Other than Tennessee, Texas' strongest opponent has been UALR, which OU played.

Right now, BYU, Boston, College, and Washington are all ranked well ahead of Mississippi State, and probably should be ahead of Tennessee. We are still getting a picture of this year. But, when you have national powers losing to historically weak teams, it is a new year.
 
Time will tell if the coaches who voted Miss. St. in the top 10 know what they're doing or not. I wouldn't bet against them at this point.
 
By the way, realtime rpi - prior to yesterday's games - had the OU mens team at 102nd and falling, and had Villanova ranked 4th - and rising. Realtime rpi is a mess right now.

Any system that is that far off - even at this point in the season - is not reliable now, will not be reliable in the middle of the season, and will not be reliable at season's end. It may be better than now later, but still has significant mathematical problems - mostly due to fallacious assumptions built into the system.

In Norm's favor - that means Mississippi State may be one of the best teams in the US - no matter what realtime rpi says. Time will tell.
 
Never been a fan of RPI. Strength of schedule can also be shaky, but is usually more reliable, in my opinion. For me, the eye test is the most accurate way to rate a team.
 
Back
Top