Thanks to Kerwin Roach, Kuoat Noi, and Michael Weathers

[WichitaSooner]

Do you think OU's odds of winning/losing changed at all in these 3 games? If so, how much?

I think that if Roach plays, we probably go into that game a slight favorite. I don't recall what the line was before they announced the suspension. At OSU, I think we are still probably 70/30 to win. TCU was favored to beat us without Noi, the line probably increases another couple points if he had played. So essentially, I think two of the games are more or less tossups, and the other, OSU, we are still significant favorites. Needless to say, nowhere near 95 percent chance of losing any, let alone all. For perspective, Bill Self has won about 96 percent of home games at KU. Something tells me our odds of beating the three teams at issue are a bit better than a visiting team's chances in the Phog.

 

[Eielson]

Do you think OU's odds of winning/losing changed at all in these 3 games? If so, how much?

This is a silly game to play. There's a 100% chance we won previous games in which Noi and Weathers played, and we nearly won the game when Roach played. OU didn't pull out a hard-fought win. Our guys steamrolled Texas for most of the game before falling asleep late and avoiding disaster.

 

[skyvue]

Our guys steamrolled Texas for most of the game before falling asleep late and avoiding disaster.

And that flagrant foul call gave ut's rally a significant charge. I worried at the time that it might give the longhorns a boost and it certainly did. We'd kept them at arm's length at a minimum till then. That quick 4/5 points (I can't recall if they scored two or three after the free throws) gave them new life.

 

[scrybe]

And if all those other Big 12 teams didn't have better fans than us, there's no telling what OU's record would be. Just think how good the Sooners could be without thebigabd on their side.

 

[coolm]

maybe toby will make an announcement in a few minutes that wiggington and some other cyclone will be out with colds.

 

[WaymanFan]

I'm sticking with my predicted 7-7 record assuming EVERY conference team had its rotation players healthy throughout the season.

 

[thebigabd]

maybe toby will make an announcement in a few minutes that wiggington and some other cyclone will be out with colds.

Careful to point that out as a lucky break though.... the cartel will you add you to their list.

 

[Soonerinkc]

I'm sticking with my predicted 7-7 record assuming EVERY conference team had its rotation players healthy throughout the season.

ya mean 9/9?

 

[WaymanFan]

ya mean 9/9?

I should have been more clear. I believe we would be 7-7 instead of 5-9 if Jumani was healthy all year - and so was everyone from our conference opponents. That’s my counter to the 2-12 prediction at the start of the thread.

 

[Eielson]

I was gonna make a joke that maybe the OP confused Roach, Noi, and Weathers with Blake, Beasley, and Durant...but even then I think we have a better than 5% chance at stealing one.

 

[Soonerinkc]

I should have been more clear. I believe we would be 7-7 instead of 5-9 if Jumani was healthy all year - and so was everyone from our conference opponents. That’s my counter to the 2-12 prediction at the start of the thread.

ah..my bad...