Transfer Portal 2025

colston15 said:
If we are done with the portal — wow — what an excellent haul.

My only (small) critiques would be that a) we are relying on some guys returning from serious injuries and b) we seem a little thin on guard depth.

I like the idea of adding a guard this summer. Should be cheap to do at that time.
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I bet they wait to see what happens with Alec Blair, they'll add a summer kid if he decides to sign in the MLB draft.
 
jdizzle34 said:
He will be gone. Top 3 round picks rarely go to college. If they do, it's at a school like Vandy.
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Maybe? idk just depends. Been looking at a lot of mock stuff recently and he's in the 4th round. Signing pool is roughly 520k-720k for 4th rounders. He's telling everyone he's going to school, but he's always going to say that for leverage. He's a very raw prospect but tons of upside. If it was me or my kid? I'm signing and staying in touch with porter/working out at OU basketball and with a basketball trainer. Worst case in 3 years my baseball future isn't as bright, go back to school and play hoops.
 
jdizzle34 said:
He will be gone. Top 3 round picks rarely go to college. If they do, it's at a school like Vandy.
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The latest I've seen is he's projected to go towards to end of the 3rd round. On average, roughly 40% of players drafted in the 3rd round sign a professional baseball contract. That numbers drops to 32% for rounds 4-5, so to say "rarely" is not accurate at all. All any of us know is what Blair has said, and that he plans on playing BOTH sports next year at OU...so maybe I'm more optimistic, but I certainly don't think it's highly likely that he will sign a pro baseball contract. And the historical %'s are on my side....40% is less than 50/50, and in Blair's case, he has the opportunity to play another sport at a high level, where most true baseball prospects don't have that opportunity, so to me that make the % even lower that he chooses pro baseball. I have no idea about what kind of family he comes from, but if his family is well off...and with college NIL being what it currently is...I can see these historical %'s dropping.

I would bet a beer that he is in Norman this summer/fall. Just my opinion.
 
cvangild said:
The latest I've seen is he's projected to go towards to end of the 3rd round. On average, roughly 40% of players drafted in the 3rd round sign a professional baseball contract. That numbers drops to 32% for rounds 4-5, so to say "rarely" is not accurate at all. All any of us know is what Blair has said, and that he plans on playing BOTH sports next year at OU...so maybe I'm more optimistic, but I certainly don't think it's highly likely that he will sign a pro baseball contract. And the historical %'s are on my side....40% is less than 50/50, and in Blair's case, he has the opportunity to play another sport at a high level, where most true baseball prospects don't have that opportunity, so to me that make the % even lower that he chooses pro baseball. I have no idea about what kind of family he comes from, but if his family is well off...and with college NIL being what it currently is...I can see these historical %'s dropping.

I would bet a beer that he is in Norman this summer/fall. Just my opinion.
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I have no idea what to expect from him as a basketball player. He's got good size and great instincts. Being a lefty is a big plus -- but is he athletic enough to guard the wing in the SEC?
 
cvangild said:
The latest I've seen is he's projected to go towards to end of the 3rd round. On average, roughly 40% of players drafted in the 3rd round sign a professional baseball contract. That numbers drops to 32% for rounds 4-5, so to say "rarely" is not accurate at all. All any of us know is what Blair has said, and that he plans on playing BOTH sports next year at OU...so maybe I'm more optimistic, but I certainly don't think it's highly likely that he will sign a pro baseball contract. And the historical %'s are on my side....40% is less than 50/50, and in Blair's case, he has the opportunity to play another sport at a high level, where most true baseball prospects don't have that opportunity, so to me that make the % even lower that he chooses pro baseball. I have no idea about what kind of family he comes from, but if his family is well off...and with college NIL being what it currently is...I can see these historical %'s dropping.

I would bet a beer that he is in Norman this summer/fall. Just my opinion.
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How often to top 10 round drafted players fail to sign, and is it ever a good idea? at Nationals Arm Race

"… the reason you win or lose is darn near always the same – pitching.” — Earl Weaver
www.nationalsarmrace.com www.nationalsarmrace.com

Who knows what this specific kid will do, but your numbers are way off.
 
cvangild said:
The latest I've seen is he's projected to go towards to end of the 3rd round. On average, roughly 40% of players drafted in the 3rd round sign a professional baseball contract. That numbers drops to 32% for rounds 4-5, so to say "rarely" is not accurate at all. All any of us know is what Blair has said, and that he plans on playing BOTH sports next year at OU...so maybe I'm more optimistic, but I certainly don't think it's highly likely that he will sign a pro baseball contract. And the historical %'s are on my side....40% is less than 50/50, and in Blair's case, he has the opportunity to play another sport at a high level, where most true baseball prospects don't have that opportunity, so to me that make the % even lower that he chooses pro baseball. I have no idea about what kind of family he comes from, but if his family is well off...and with college NIL being what it currently is...I can see these historical %'s dropping.

I would bet a beer that he is in Norman this summer/fall. Just my opinion.
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this is no longer accurate almost EVERYONE drafted in the top 10 rounds now signs ..


they all agree to sign BEFORE they are picked ..

so Blair will either be drafted and sign or not be drafted at all
 
BoulderSooner said:
this is no longer accurate almost EVERYONE drafted in the top 10 rounds now signs ..


they all agree to sign BEFORE they are picked ..

so Blair will either be drafted and sign or not be drafted at all
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Agreed.

Plus I don't think we can compare draft options in 2025 to historical norms to the era of NIL packages, especially for a recruit that is also good at basketball.

Easy decision for a kid who is told he can make a signing bonus of $4000-500K vs. going to college for zero. But a little more difficult when he has the option of maybe making a couple hundred K and live his dream of being a BMOC in both sports vs. going on bus rides an grinding in the middle of summer.

But it will all be determined prior to draft day(s). Team is not going to waste a pick if they don't know what he plans to do.
 
BoulderSooner said:
this is no longer accurate almost EVERYONE drafted in the top 10 rounds now signs ..


they all agree to sign BEFORE they are picked ..

so Blair will either be drafted and sign or not be drafted at all
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My info is a few years old..so I guess we'll see. All any of us know is what he has said. So if he does get drafted, the assumption is he's already told these baseball teams that he will indeed sign?? I guess we'll see. It will depend on how much he loves basketball I guess.
 
He loves Skip and Porter. Committed to OU because of them. People are ranked that high and go in the 8th or 10th because the likelihood they’ll actually sign. With NIL, the money isn’t drastically different and a chance to play college ball and move up in the draft. He goes to De La Salle. I doubt money is too big of a concern. Kids a great two sport athlete
 
Two sport athletes rarely work out. The game(s) are too complex and everybody else if focusing on one sport year round.

OU has had a few succeed at it over the years, but we've had far more fail or end up dropping one of the sports. I suspect Blair will fall into that bucket. Everything you read on the kid is that the athleticism is there, but the skills need the refinement that comes with playing one sport year round. I think I read that baseball is the sport he likes the most. Guess we'll see how it plays out.
 
TEvans4Three said:
Do not forget the wild amount of minutes that Goodine played down the stretch...absurd. Goodine may have led in minutes in the last 10 games. (excluding Fears)

Once we got to LSU, here are his MPG:

26, 30, 28, 34, 20, 37, 25, 33, 25, 30 - 28.8 MPG

(2 double digit games, and pretty much a dud in the post-season)
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pm is so weird sometimes. And his obsession with Godwin over wague looks like it was a failure too
 
PortersPosse said:
He loves Skip and Porter. Committed to OU because of them. People are ranked that high and go in the 8th or 10th because the likelihood they’ll actually sign. With NIL, the money isn’t drastically different and a chance to play college ball and move up in the draft. He goes to De La Salle. I doubt money is too big of a concern. Kids a great two sport athlete
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It’s not just about money. It’s also about what you think gives you the best chance to make it to the highest level in one of the two sports. Baseball is the hardest sport in the world to excel at. Most big league folks will tell you they want prospects to have a couple thousand minor league plate appearances under their belts before they even think about calling them up, and that’s for players good enough to make the bigs. If he goes to college and tries to play both, he would maybe get 750 plate appearances in three years, and that’s if he comes in and starts from day one. He’d miss fall ball and would have to decide whether to play summer ball or workout with the basketball team. The baseball/basketball double is even more difficult than baseball/football because of the schedule overlap.
 
I won't defend Goodine's defense, but he shot 42% from three for the season and was consistent from deep down the stretch. He spaced the floor for Fears and didn't turn it over. He was a bad defender, but offensively, who were we bringing in on the wing that would give us what he did? Less about how good Goodine was and more about who was better?

Forsythe was not a "3" / Wing and was playing behind Fears and Miles (who is a solid upperclassmen).
 
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