Two new bracket projections today

[garyeb2]

Exactly! No one has ever said that OU is not going to make the tournament. The scenarios some of us have painted have always centered around wins that can make us a virtual lock and losses that COULD move us closer to the bubble.

The selection committee looks at a number of variables in reviewing a team's resume, among them how they finished the season. OU was 6-4 in their last ten, and 3-2 in the last five. The last five stands out because both of those losses were to teams that finished with sub-500 records and in the bottom half of the Big 12. In other words, they were bad losses.

I have said all along that at least five Big 12 teams will make the dance. I still believe that. But I would rather not gamble our NCAA tourney future on a first round loss to ISU. That opens the door to the possibility that Baylor could use their win over KU as a springboard to win the conference tournament, which would in turn force the committee to decide if a team that finished the season by losing 3 of their last 6 games is worthy of an at large bid.

IMO, if we beat ISU our worries will be over. Lose, and I'll be worried on selection Sunday, even if I'm alone in my misery.

OK, if OU loses to Iowa ST. AND Baylor wins the conference tourney, AND the selection committe elimiates OU to make room for Baylor, it would be a bad deal.

With just alittle thought and doing the math in my head, I calculated the odds of that all happening at approx. 100 to 1. While I do have a long history of making myself miserable, I generaly reserve that for when bad outcomes seem more likely.

 

[stormspencer]

I don't think he's sayting that. The winner of the OU-ISU game is a definite lock. That's 4 teams. What if that happened and Baylor made a great run a won the Tournament. Do you really think the Big XII would warrant 6 teams? Reasons like this are why I want to beat ISU and take it out of the Committee's hands.

Teams get bids....not conferences. It is absolutely irrelevant whether the Big 12 "warrants" 6 bids or not. That never enters the discussion...or at least that is what we are told. Baylor winning the Big 12 tournament would have virtually nothing to do with our fate, but it may affect teams like Virginia, Iowa, or Kentucky.

 

[campbest]

Teams get bids....not conferences. It is absolutely irrelevant whether the Big 12 "warrants" 6 bids or not. That never enters the discussion...or at least that is what we are told. Baylor winning the Big 12 tournament would have virtually nothing to do with our fate, but it may affect teams like Virginia, Iowa, or Kentucky.

This.

OU is in, book it. Especially with Middle Tennessee State losing and Belmont winning their respective tournaments.