Which Ones Will We Win?

[Sweetest OU Girl]

Here are the teams we play in the order they are scheduled.

Which games will we win/lose?

Opponent ......Conf. Rec.. Conf. Rank

@ Texas .................3-4......... 5th
@ West Virginia .....2-5 .........6th (Tie)
Iowa State ...............5-2 ........3rd
Kansas State ...........1-6 ........10th
@ Baylor .................7-0 ........1st (Tie)
TCU .........................4-3 ........4th
@ Iowa State ...........5-2 .......3rd
@ Kansas State .......1-6 ........10th
Baylor ......................7-0 ........1st (Tie)
Kansas .....................2-5 ........6th (Tie)
@ Oklahoma State ..2-5 ........6th (Tie)

 

[sybarite]

All of them.

(unless we lose).

Truth: I think if we come to play in every game, we should enter the Elite Eight having not lost since December. This group can----if they will.

 

[BigT14]

We lose to Baylor twice and at Iowa State

 

[brokebacksooner]

We lose to Baylor twice and at Iowa State

And probably one more head-scratcher. I still think we finish 3rd or 4th in the conference and maybe win only one game in the B12 tourney.

I love this team, but I certainly don't see them as an elite 8 or even sweet 16 team.

 

[tycat947]

And probably one more head-scratcher. I still think we finish 3rd or 4th in the conference and maybe win only one game in the B12 tourney.

I love this team, but I certainly don't see them as an elite 8 or even sweet 16 team.

I'm thinking 3rd is worst case scenario now. I think I-State is realistically the only one to pass us unless we have a total collapse as there really isn't anyone in Big 12 that good to not have multiple losses in the final 11 games.

 

[tycat947]

And probably one more head-scratcher. I still think we finish 3rd or 4th in the conference and maybe win only one game in the B12 tourney.

I love this team, but I certainly don't see them as an elite 8 or even sweet 16 team.

I wouldn't necessarily think this team has a great chance at Sweet 16 or Elite 8, however, if we are a Top 16 seed, we would host 1st and 2nd round at LNC and the regional will be held at OKC and we'd probably have a good chance to be assigned to that regional. If all that falls into place good things could happen. If we don't make a Top 16 seed, Sweet 16 or Elite 8 would be much less likely although not out of the realm of possibilities!

 

[Mac]

If we lose any games in big 12 play I would go with
@ West Virginia
@ Baylor
@ Iowa State
vs Baylor

 

[jerry]

If we lose any games in big 12 play I would go with
@ West Virginia
@ Baylor
@ Iowa State
vs Baylor

Agree.

 

[sybarite]

Let's see if we can project a Sweet Sixteen. As of now, the four number ones would probably be:

Connecticut
South Carolina
Baylor
Notre Dame

The #2 seeds would probably be:

Maryland
Tennessee (2)
Louisville (2)
Oregon State

Now, it gets a bit dicey. Do you give one conference a whole bunch of high seeds? What do you do with teams that seem to be losing late?

Let's see #3 seeds, the merits of:

Kentucky (3)
Florida State (3)
Arizona State (2)
Oklahoma (2)----why Oklahoma? If Oklahoma is #2 in the strongest conference and trending up, do you put a #4 or #5 from another conference ahead of them?

#4 seeds

Texas A&M (4)
Iowa or Nebraska (2)
North Carolina or Duke (4)
Stanford or Iowa State (3)

A&M has the ranking and rpi, but they are fourth, maybe lower. They are not trending up. Iowa and Nebraska are borderline, and they really have not played anyone. But, they are second in the Big Ten. Duke and North Carolina are taking a back seat to Notre Dame, Florida State, and Louisville. Duke is losing away from home except at North Carolina. They are not trending up. Stanford seems firmly behind Arizona State and Oregon State. But, they do have a track record that is better than Iowa State's. But, the Cyclones might edge them out if they were to beat Baylor or OU. They need a win over someone other than Texas. The TCU loss hurts.

Princeton may be good, but I don't see an Ivy League team being a fourth seed. Texas is playing itself out of a high seed. Teams like Mississippi State, Syracuse, and George Washington need to send a message since the first two are buried in their respective conferences.

 

[YCN]

I wouldn't necessarily think this team has a great chance at Sweet 16 or Elite 8, however, if we are a Top 16 seed, we would host 1st and 2nd round at LNC and the regional will be held at OKC and we'd probably have a good chance to be assigned to that regional. If all that falls into place good things could happen. If we don't make a Top 16 seed, Sweet 16 or Elite 8 would be much less likely although not out of the realm of possibilities!

If OU wants an assignment to OKC, and I would presume that they would love that, then they'll have to rank higher than Baylor, or else be a natural fit to be there. I'd say the odds (if we even get there) of being assigned to OKC is probably a shade on the good side of 40%. Winning games is the key. If OU did the impossible and finished the season on a 22 game winning streak, I'm absolutely certain they would get selected for OKC.

 

[got mulk??]

I could see OU going 8-3 or 7-4 the rest of the season. Ames and Morganstown are difficult places to play and let's face it we don't lose at home. Like us there will be 1 game that you have an WTH moment and lose. We will prolly lose in Austin cuz they will want revenge for Nneka and ISU will hit 3s with ease in Ames giving us 2 bad beats. Then we always play bad in Stoolwater giving us a 15-3 conference record. The season could come down to game in Norman.

Now as far as the Big Dance, it does benefit greatly having the 1st and 2nd rounds on your home court! The Elight 8 is very difficult to achieve and mainly depends on luck and placement. We are not there yet and may not be this year.

 

[SoonerNorm]

We played really well until the last game. I don't know if that was a hiccup or perhaps a return to the past. That should be answered in the next two games.

I do believe Baylor, WVU, TCU, and ISU will be tough. I seriously doubt OSU plays as poorly next time.

 

[got mulk??]

I just wish that in at least 1 game this year we could play 2 good halves! It seems that we either come out guns blazing and then fall asleep after halftime or we start slow and get behind then have to play catchup in second half. So frustrating!!!

 

[sybarite]

I think the game in Austin will tell us a lot. If we win that game, I see OU as no worse than 16-2. I think that may be sufficient to tie for the conference title. I think it will be close. It would not surprise me to see OU and Baylor split with one winning the conference and the other the tournament.

I will be a bit surprised if Texas beats us. Their only competitor in Norman is gone, and I don't know how they will make that up. I think it will take some lucky bounces for Texas to win, like three-pointers off the backboard. Iowa State seems to be making progress. They have looked good since the Baylor game. But, I'm not sure that Iowa State has the quickness to be all that effective against OU or Baylor. They may take a win in Ames. I tend to doubt it. I think it comes down to Baylor/OU--twice. Who can do what in that pair of games?

I do think that the winner of the conference gets the fourth #1 or first or second #2. I think the runner-up will get a #3, unless they split. If both at 15-1, I could see a #1 and a #2.

 

[sybarite]

http://espn.go.com/womens-college-basketball/bracketology

Charlie Creme has Baylor as a #1 with OU at a #5. I don't think the two conference leaders will be 1 and 5, more like 1 and 3 unless someone else starts winning. Texas is a 6, and Iowa State is an 8.

Stanford and Washington are fives, like OU.

I don't think he gets that if OU is second, it is likely because they are at least 14-4 in conference. But, if another team finishes fourth or fifth in their conference, their in-conference record isn't going to be that good. He still has Duke as a #4. If they keep losing on the road in conference, they are likely to have six or seven conference losses.

 

[soonerstar]

2 teams from the same conference can be in the same regional. However, they can not meet until the Elite 8 game.

 

[YCN]

@ Texas 5th
Watching how Texas squandered a win against the Cylones by stupid play and bad execution, I doubt that UT will win this game. 8-0

@ West Virginia 6th (Tie)
The Mountaineers are offensively challenged and not great on defense. I'll be very disappointed if we lose. 9-0

Iowa State 3rd
Iowa State is the best Big 12 team not from Waco or Norman, but at home I think our team speed and ability to challenge the deep shot will be too much for them to overcome.
10-0

Kansas State 10th
Kansas State is a hot mess this season, seeming not doing much of anything well. I don't see any go-to players on their roster, so count this one as a win. 11-0

@ Baylor 1st (Tie)
Now we are talking primetime. Young and talented, they seem to get contributions from everywhere, as do the Sooners. Home court is an obvious advantage, so I'm guessing that OU will lose a close one in Waco. 11-1

TCU 4th
TCU has some good parts, but they are easily to worst defensive team in the conference,
We'll make it a sweep. 12-1

@ Iowa State 3rd
The Cyclones are mighty tough on their home court and will give OU a struggle. Rebounding and 3-point shooting offense and defence will be keys to the game. ISU probably wins at home. 12-2

@ Kansas State 10th
The court won't matter. 13-2

Baylor 1st (Tie)
Primetime part 2. Home court may be the decisive factor between the Big 12's two best teams. Should be a great game, and a crucial OU win. 14-2

Kansas 6th (Tie)
Home court won't matter, OU would have to fall flat on it's face to lose this one, and Kansas would have to play lights out. 15-2

@ Oklahoma State 6th (Tie)
Where will this Cowgirl team be at the end of the regular season? Rivalry games are tough, but OU's execution should be enough to carry this game by a confortable margin.
16-2

The predictions can't predict injuries and other misfortunes that might occur to other teams and the Sooners.

 

[sybarite]

That is probably close to accurate.

 

[YCN]

2 teams from the same conference can be in the same regional. However, they can not meet until the Elite 8 game.

I believe that the rule is that two teams from the same conference, if the conference has no more than 8 teams in the tournament, must be placed on the opposite side of the regional bracket, meaning that they won't play before a regional final.

Conference teams shall not meet prior to the regional final unless a ninth team is selected from a conference.

Principles and Procedures for Establishing the Bracket

 

[womenssports]

I think we lose two to Baylor, we win the rest. That prediction is based on no injuries to the starting five, Maddie, or Vivi. Two things make this possible....Gabbi believes and Carter is an all-star. Not to discount the others, of course, but you have to have something special to win out and this is what we have special. And, Sharane doing all the little things she does helps. I think she is getting better as the season progresses. Nothing we did not see in her sophmore year but just bringing it back.