GAME 33- SEC TOURNAMENT - OKLAHOMA (18-14) vs TAMU (21-10) 8:30pm CST on SEC NETWORK

[hoopsaustin]

If OU wins tonight, it will be the first time OU has won 2 games in the conference tournament since 2003, when Kelvin won his 3rd straight tournament title.

Seems post-sampson coaches didn't care about the conference tourney. porter has to use it to get in tourneys. Id like to see us end this 2003 curse regardless

 

[Maverick008]

Ugh 55% isn't good enough!! I'm going to throw up

The roller coaster of this season....

Pre-season- We have one of the best transfer classes, we're going to be much better than expected!
Reg season starts- We lost a couple here and there we're OK though cause this group can still be really good
More into the reg season- why aren't we a little better.....still not giving up hope!
9-game losing streak- wow what a terrible team and terrible coach.....end the season, the program, all of it!
Start to win a couple again....who cares, the team still is bad and underachieving....
Won the last 6 and approaching the cut line.....COME ON BOYS, BRING THIS HOME!!!!

Lose tonight (or possibly tomorrow) and feel what could have been.....
Win tonight (and possibly tomorrow) and dream about the matchups for next week!

What a freaking roller coaster ride a season can bring lol

 

[hoopsaustin]

The roller coaster of this season....

Pre-season- We have one of the best transfer classes, we're going to be much better than expected!
Reg season starts- We lost a couple here and there we're OK though cause this group can still be really good
More into the reg season- why aren't we a little better.....still not giving up hope!
9-game losing streak- wow what a terrible team and terrible coach.....end the season, the program, all of it!
Start to win a couple again....who cares, the team still is bad and underachieving....
Won the last 6 and approaching the cut line.....COME ON BOYS, BRING THIS HOME!!!!

Lose tonight (or possibly tomorrow) and feel what could have been.....
Win tonight (and possibly tomorrow) and dream about the matchups for next week!

What a freaking roller coaster ride a season can bring lol

I hate it all. Give me a "boring" 24-8ish season please

 

[Maverick008]

I hate it all. Give me a "boring" 24-8ish season please

Ha! Agreed!

 

[cvangild]

Would love for the folks posting percentages to include their sources.

Google is your friend. Not that you would believe any of it anyways.

 

[WichitaSooner]

Google is your friend. Not that you would believe any of it anyways.

Or people could just be clear in their posts. There are hundreds of bracket sites. Some are very good. Others, not so much. If there is a reputable site, let alone several, giving OU a 55% chance of making it, that's different than if one site run by Larry in his mom's basement says that.

The bubble is so bad that a win tonight at least makes it interesting, which is more than we could have hoped for and more than I thought possible. But so far, everything has gone right for us. That isn't likely to continue. I do think Miami is likely in, even though I don't think they necessarily should be. So if they lose this week, that means one bid is gone. There are other potential bid thieves, and there are a couple bubble teams still playing (Auburn, SD State). A win tonight would greatly help our odds. but our margin for error is razor thin, and if any of the other games don't go our way, we would probably need more than tonight.

 

[cvangild]

That’s why I mentioned I think we still need two more wins to feel any comfort level. But, with a win tonight (assuming we lose Friday), I would say a 40-50 % shot is a reasonable estimate. We do need some things to go our way, but a couple of years ago…everything went against us, so maybe we’re due for a little luck.

 

[bearcreekfan]

From Lunardi's update this morning:
"Upon further review: Crunching the overnight numbers, Texas (lost to Ole Miss) hurt itself more and Oklahoma (beat South Carolina) helped itself more than we first thought -- the Longhorns have dropped to "Last Four In" while the Sooners graduate to "First Four Out."
Bubbles burst: Indiana (lost to Northwestern) and Cal (lost to Florida State) joined the growing list of bubble teams to lay an egg in their conference tournaments; neither is likely to make the NCAA tournament.
Burst bubbles benefit ... Auburn, which defeated Mississippi State to advance to the second round of the SEC tournament. The Tigers might not even need a win over Tennessee to remain in the projected field."

From ESPN's Bubble Watch:
"The Sooners played themselves onto the bubble with four straight victories to end the regular season, then kept things rolling Wednesday by dominating South Carolina to advance in the SEC tournament. They have now racked up seven wins in nine games, a stretch that includes four of their five Quadrant 1 wins. Their chances in the forecast models are now up to 24%, and even though they still rank in the 50s nationally on résumé, the chaos around the SEC bubble has left the door open for the Sooners for now."

"Auburn's consensus at-large odds are 54% as it looks ahead to Round 2 against Tennessee."
"They (Texas) are also only borderline top 50 in the national résumé rankings and 11th best in what might be a 10-bid SEC, and their consensus at-large forecast dropped to a meager 22% after their latest defeat."

 

[TINY]

From Lunardi's update this morning:
"Upon further review: Crunching the overnight numbers, Texas (lost to Ole Miss) hurt itself more and Oklahoma (beat South Carolina) helped itself more than we first thought -- the Longhorns have dropped to "Last Four In" while the Sooners graduate to "First Four Out."
Bubbles burst: Indiana (lost to Northwestern) and Cal (lost to Florida State) joined the growing list of bubble teams to lay an egg in their conference tournaments; neither is likely to make the NCAA tournament.
Burst bubbles benefit ... Auburn, which defeated Mississippi State to advance to the second round of the SEC tournament. The Tigers might not even need a win over Tennessee to remain in the projected field."

From ESPN's Bubble Watch:
"The Sooners played themselves onto the bubble with four straight victories to end the regular season, then kept things rolling Wednesday by dominating South Carolina to advance in the SEC tournament. They have now racked up seven wins in nine games, a stretch that includes four of their five Quadrant 1 wins. Their chances in the forecast models are now up to 24%, and even though they still rank in the 50s nationally on résumé, the chaos around the SEC bubble has left the door open for the Sooners for now."

"Auburn's consensus at-large odds are 54% as it looks ahead to Round 2 against Tennessee."
"They (Texas) are also only borderline top 50 in the national résumé rankings and 11th best in what might be a 10-bid SEC, and their consensus at-large forecast dropped to a meager 22% after their latest defeat."

I think Indiana is in. Blue blood with huge donor base will get benefit of doubt. If it comes down to a 19 win ou versus Indian, I don’t like our chances in that beauty contest.

 

[WichitaSooner]

I think Indiana is in. Blue blood with huge donor base will get benefit of doubt. If it comes down to a 19 win ou versus Indian, I don’t like our chances in that beauty contest.

Yeah I don't believe any of that any more than the people who think we only got in because of TY in 2018. They aren't even a blue blood any more, for that matter. The NCAA tourney ratings don't fluctuate much, if at all, based on which teams get the final bubble spots. As I have argued for years, if the NCAA was thinking about TY when they selected us, why the heck did they give us a Thursday morning game?

 

[IndySooner]

I think Indiana is in. Blue blood with huge donor base will get benefit of doubt. If it comes down to a 19 win ou versus Indian, I don’t like our chances in that beauty contest.

I don’t think Indiana’s brand is all that bright these days.