Two things I believe. Firstly, just get lucky. This group is probably just one turned ankle away from a 6/12 finish.
If Grooms,Osby,Fits, or Pledger miss any significant time, we are in alot of trouble. The drop-off to Barry,CJ, and Blair is just too severe to win in the big 12.
The 2nd thing is Arent. The game just hasn't slowed down for him. He has missed enough putbacks to have averaged 8/10 points a game. But, he didn't make them. And that is a problem. Plus, he still misses a defensive rotation occasionly. Both things could still be resolvable this season. Fitzs will probably always pick up fouls and some big 12 post will be just too big for him. The team needs 15 quality minutes a game from Arent. Without those minutes it will be tough to bust .500.