How many conference wins to get in the NIT?

[Sooner23]

I'm thinking eight.

 

[Sooner_In_MI]

If we have 18 wins after the Big XII tournament I think we'll make the NIT.

 

[WTSooner]

I'm thinking eight.

That many? I was thinking 9-10 wins would have gotten us in the Dance. Is the line that fine?

 

[PeteHoops]

I don't see any reason we don't get in with 18, especially if we pick up one or two more wins over ranked teams. That said, I think with the right wins we get in with 17, and that's including a first round loss in the Big XII tournament. If we should get to 19/20 wins we'd have an outside shot at the dance, but we should host a NIT game.

 

[Sooner_In_MI]

That many? I was thinking 9-10 wins would have gotten us in the Dance. Is the line that fine?

It's pretty fine. Only 32 teams make the NIT, and starting a couple of seasons ago, some of those spots are taken by low-major teams who win their conference's regular season title, but don't win their conference tournament and thus miss the NCAA's. Baylor, for example, completely missed all postseason tournaments last year even though I believe they had 17 or 18 wins.

 

[AdaSooner]

I think 18 wins may be enough to get a NIT bid, but not an invitation to the Big Dance.

Sub-.500 teams in the Big 12 rarely get a NCAA bid, unless they win the conference tourney. Losing to OSU put us behind the eight ball in winning half of our games the rest of the way. It's not an impossible task. But definitely a major uphill climb for a team with limited size and scoring options.

 

[garyeb2]

Well, in addition to the number of wins, it probably needs to be in the context of conference standings.

The Big 12 is probably going to be strong enough to get at least 5 teams in. I understand that there could be circumstances where more or less could make it. If OU were to finish 9-9 and be a clean 5th in the standings. Then go 1-1 in the conference tourney.That is probably good enough for a tourney bid.

Anything less is probably bad news. Past that, it would probably take 17+ wins to go anywhere.

 

[DenverSooner]

Well, in addition to the number of wins, it probably needs to be in the context of conference standings.

The Big 12 is probably going to be strong enough to get at least 5 teams in. I understand that there could be circumstances where more or less could make it. If OU were to finish 9-9 and be a clean 5th in the standings. Then go 1-1 in the conference tourney.That is probably good enough for a tourney bid.

Anything less is probably bad news. Past that, it would probably take 17+ wins to go anywhere.

The Big XII will get 5 teams or more in the NCAA. Missouri, KU and Baylor are locks. KSU is close to a lock but could melt down, especiallyconsidering the 1-3 start. ISU, OU, and Texas all have a shot. I think 5 is most likley but if six teams have 20+ wins, I could see 6 teams getting in.

 

[Big Old Booger]

That many? I was thinking 9-10 wins would have gotten us in the Dance. Is the line that fine?

With our weak OOC schedule, I don't think 9 or 10 wins would get us in the dance unless we can get 2 wins over any combination of the following 3 teams: Mizzou, KU or Baylor.

 

[sperry]

With our weak OOC schedule, I don't think 9 or 10 wins would get us in the dance unless we can get 2 wins over any combination of the following 3 teams: Mizzou, KU or Baylor.

I agree. With no signature non-conference wins, we need to do something impressive to get in the dance.

 

[boksooner]

I agree. With no signature non-conference wins, we need to do something impressive to get in the dance.

Hey, that ORU win is looking better and better

 

[MI Sooner]

The least impressive collection of victories we could end up with is:

KSU
TTU
A&M
OkSt
Tex
ISU

and then road wins over:

TTU
A&M
ISU
Tex

Our losses would be:

@Mizzou
@Okst
@KSU
@KU
@Bay
vs KU
vs Mizzou
vs Bay

So we'd have a home win over KSU, a win over ORU, and a bunch of road wins over major conference teams. If we lost some of the road games, we'd have wins over the likes of Mizzou or Baylor. Since the Big XII's RPI is strong, I'd be shocked if that didn't get us in. In fact, barring a first round upset loss in the Big XII tournament, I'd be willing to give long odds that a 10-8 OU is left out of the NCAA tournament.

Our RPI is ~70 right now. Going 9-5 in one of the stronger conferences would raise it substantially.

 

[DenverSooner]

The Big XII will get 5 teams. OU needs to finish in the top 5 to assure a spot. A 6th team might make it.

 

[Sooner23]

With our weak OOC schedule, I don't think 9 or 10 wins would get us in the dance unless we can get 2 wins over any combination of the following 3 teams: Mizzou, KU or Baylor.

This is kind of what I was thinking.

 

[stormspencer]

The way this team is playing right now....anyone who would think this team is capable of winning 7 or 8 games in conference is on Mars. This team has regressed as the season has progressed. I thought they would build off of the K-State game, but unfortunately, that game is looking more and more like a fluke. The early season success spoiled us all a little, but it turns out that we simply aren't very good.

 

[BigTime]

The way this team is playing right now....anyone who would think this team is capable of winning 7 or 8 games in conference is on Mars. This team has regressed as the season has progressed. I thought they would build off of the K-State game, but unfortunately, that game is looking more and more like a fluke. The early season success spoiled us all a little, but it turns out that we simply aren't very good.

Bit knee-jerk dontchathink? Now if the Sooners lose this game then, yeah, NIT is out imo.

 

[Krugerfan52]

Everytime I've looked at an NIT bracket the past few years most teams have had 20 wins. The only teams lately that I can remember getting in with less that 20 wins are teams like UCONN, North Carolina that are super talented but young and have big names.

The last few years there seem to be 6-12 teams in the NIT that are just about as good as 20 of the bottom NCAA teams, IMO.

 

[stormspencer]

Bit knee-jerk dontchathink? Now if the Sooners lose this game then, yeah, NIT is out imo.

The way this team has played in conference, I see a trend....not a knee-jerk reaction. I don't know how anyone could view it another way.

 

[DenverSooner]

Everytime I've looked at an NIT bracket the past few years most teams have had 20 wins. The only teams lately that I can remember getting in with less that 20 wins are teams like UCONN, North Carolina that are super talented but young and have big names.

The last few years there seem to be 6-12 teams in the NIT that are just about as good as 20 of the bottom NCAA teams, IMO.

That is always the case. The bottom 10 or so teams in the NCAA Tournament are simply not very good teams but they win small conferences. The last 10 in are not significantly different than the first 10 out.

 

[stoopified]

7-8