I want a 2 seed

[stormspencer]

You definitely want a 2-seed over a 3-seed.....arguing otherwise is silly. Theoretically, your second round game would be somewhat easier and the success percentages that Zim posted above would confirm that.

I can understand the line of thought regarding "draw". You could potentially draw a #7 that either underachieved or "got hot" at the right time. But you could just as easily say that about a #6 seed as well. And you can always count on at least one "11-6 upset" and maybe two "10-7 upsets".

 

[WaymanFan]

I think you’re right in general. This year may be an exception because there are two teams who are head and shoulders above everyone else and you’d like to avoid them as long as possible. I think back to 2009 ... we were probably the second best team in the country but didn’t make the FF because we were in the same region as the best team. Obviously if Blake hadn’t gotten his concussion, we would have been a one seed ourselves, but you see my point.

I get what you are saying, but if we can finish second in the conference, the Committee is not going to put us into the same bracket as Baylor. That leaves Gonzaga, who I honestly believe is going to cut down the nets. I would still rather get Gonzaga in the Elite Eight as a #2 seed than take our chances as a #3. The #3 vs #6 matchups are usually pretty close to even, and OU has lost three of their four games in that matchup (twice as a #3 and twice as a #6 - and our only win was as a #6). I feel a lot better as a #2 playing against a #7 / #10 (think 2002, 2009, 2016).

 

[Zimwillett]

I think you’re right in general. This year may be an exception because there are two teams who are head and shoulders above everyone else and you’d like to avoid them as long as possible. I think back to 2009 ... we were probably the second best team in the country but didn’t make the FF because we were in the same region as the best team. Obviously if Blake hadn’t gotten his concussion, we would have been a one seed ourselves, but you see my point.

Fair enough. But for me, the increased likelihood of advancing is far more valuable than the potential of avoiding a hypothetical bad matchup four rounds into the future. I'd rather have the increased likelihood of surviving four rounds than worry about what might happen once we get there. The getting there is the thing.

 

[hoopsaustin]

Fair enough. But for me, the increased likelihood of advancing is far more valuable than the potential of avoiding a hypothetical bad matchup four rounds into the future. I'd rather have the increased likelihood of surviving four rounds than worry about what might happen once we get there. The getting there is the thing.

This. Get to the game you and l want to avoid and then just see what happens