I voted close win and it's quite optimistic. I don't know if I really believe that, but I felt like going to ten points was a lot. I think we'll play close at the very least and probably cover the 7.5. If you want an analogy--think the game we played in Capel's first year. Played close, let it slip away, but still played a bit closer than people expected.
Here's why: Look at the teams OU has lost to. With the exception of San Diego and possibly VCU (was at a wedding and forgot to DVR), they have been teams that use their athleticism to take advantage of being lazy on defense.
Texas A&M isn't as athletic as most of the teams we've lost to. They are bigger guys who get tough rebounds. We're not beasts on the boards anyway, so it's not like that's the reason we've been in games that we've won or lost games that we've lost. A&M isn't a team that will out-athlete you and they haven't been for years.
We've also had a newfound interest in playing tougher defense. Are we the best defensive team of all time? Of course not. It's still not ideal. But the past two games we've muddied up games AND we've won. If we lost, I don't know if the players buy in, but we've won and I feel like that's going to help.