DSMok1
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OU vs. Gonzaga Statistical Plus/Minus
Gonzaga was a decent team, but nothing special. They lost to Duke by 35, so they are not what they have been in recent years. They are 55th in the country, by Pomeroy's estimation. And OU didn't put up much of a fight. We are certainly seeing a team in flux at OU; the Capel is pushing lots of buttons right now.
(Boxscore)
OU Statistical +/-
Gonzaga Statistical +/-
OU played like an NCAA average team; Gonzaga played very well indeed (above their 55th ranking).
For OU, the post players stepped up (!). Tiny, Wright, and Allen (!!) all played well, though in limited minutes. Fitzgerald did decently also. The posts combined to shoot 10-13. It was a solid showing across the board for the post, though no one played superbly.
The backcourt was miserable. Willie played an awful game again--19 points, on decent shooting, but a bunch of turnovers, no assists, no blocks, no steals. He has been playing as a pure gunner... not a good team player at the moment.
Cade did poorly, also, with an almost invisible 17 minutes. He has done that several times recently.
A theme for the team--no blocks, only 3 steals. Just not a lot of defense, it seems.
Willis did the best of the guards--all he did to merit that title was not turning the ball over!!
For Gonzaga, Harris and Sacre played great games, and Bouldin did well also. Harris: 15 points, 9 rebounds, 2 assists in 26 (!!) minutes. Wow!
Here are the totals through 13 games, with the minutes per game listed:
OU Statistical +/- Thirteen Game Totals
Tony is solidly the team leader still; Cade is in second, but Tiny is making a run to catch him. Willie has faded to 4th on the team--not exactly the MVP! TMG is hanging right around 0 still.
And here is a new feature, which I will show every few games: a chart of the games and the contributions of each player, above or below NCAA average. For instance: Willie and Tiny played a good game in the first game of the season. But in this last game (13th), Willie was bad; the team had about about as much below-NCAA-average contributions as above-NCAA-average.
Gonzaga was a decent team, but nothing special. They lost to Duke by 35, so they are not what they have been in recent years. They are 55th in the country, by Pomeroy's estimation. And OU didn't put up much of a fight. We are certainly seeing a team in flux at OU; the Capel is pushing lots of buttons right now.
(Boxscore)
OU Statistical +/-
Code:
Player SPM Min Contribution
Gallon, Tiny 5.6 13 1.1
Willis, Ray 3.9 17 1.0
Wright, Ryan 3.1 21 1.0
Allen, Orlando 6.3 7 0.7
Fitzgerald, Andrew 1.3 21 0.4
Mason-Griffin, Tommy 0.7 32 0.3
Crocker, Tony 0.1 27 0.1
Pledger, Steven -0.8 12 -0.1
Davis, Cade -3.1 17 -0.8
Warren, Willie -7.5 33 -3.9
Code:
Player SPM Min Contribution
HARRIS, Elias 16.0 26 6.5
SACRE, Robert 12.4 24 4.6
BOULDIN, Matt 5.8 37 3.3
GRAY, Steven 4.5 34 2.4
OLYNYK, Kelly 9.2 10 1.4
KONG, Bol 1.7 22 0.6
VILARINO, G -8.6 2 -0.3
FOSTER, Will -8.6 7 -0.9
AROP, Mangisto -6.3 12 -1.2
GOODSON, Demetri -6.2 26 -2.5OU played like an NCAA average team; Gonzaga played very well indeed (above their 55th ranking).
For OU, the post players stepped up (!). Tiny, Wright, and Allen (!!) all played well, though in limited minutes. Fitzgerald did decently also. The posts combined to shoot 10-13. It was a solid showing across the board for the post, though no one played superbly.
The backcourt was miserable. Willie played an awful game again--19 points, on decent shooting, but a bunch of turnovers, no assists, no blocks, no steals. He has been playing as a pure gunner... not a good team player at the moment.
Cade did poorly, also, with an almost invisible 17 minutes. He has done that several times recently.
A theme for the team--no blocks, only 3 steals. Just not a lot of defense, it seems.
Willis did the best of the guards--all he did to merit that title was not turning the ball over!!
For Gonzaga, Harris and Sacre played great games, and Bouldin did well also. Harris: 15 points, 9 rebounds, 2 assists in 26 (!!) minutes. Wow!
Here are the totals through 13 games, with the minutes per game listed:
OU Statistical +/- Thirteen Game Totals
Code:
Player SPM MPG Contrib Per 100 Pos.
Crocker, Tony 6.3 33.0 45.9 5.1
Davis, Cade 4.4 27.0 26.4 3.0
Gallon, Tiny 4.9 24.0 25.9 2.9
Warren, Willie 2.4 30.5 16.4 1.8
Pledger, Steven 1.4 20.3 6.4 0.7
Hardrick, Kyle -3.6 0.2 -0.2 0.0
Gerber, Beau -42.7 0.3 -2.9 -0.3
Franklin, T.J. -25.4 0.6 -3.5 -0.4
Mason-Griffin, Tommy -0.7 33.5 -5.2 -0.6
Allen, Orlando -8.2 4.1 -7.4 -0.8
Wright, Ryan -2.1 16.3 -7.7 -0.9
Willis, Ray -10.9 3.4 -8.1 -0.9
Fitzgerald, Andrew -5.5 8.7 -10.6 -1.2Tony is solidly the team leader still; Cade is in second, but Tiny is making a run to catch him. Willie has faded to 4th on the team--not exactly the MVP! TMG is hanging right around 0 still.
And here is a new feature, which I will show every few games: a chart of the games and the contributions of each player, above or below NCAA average. For instance: Willie and Tiny played a good game in the first game of the season. But in this last game (13th), Willie was bad; the team had about about as much below-NCAA-average contributions as above-NCAA-average.
Statistical Plus/Minus (SPM) is a method of estimating each player's impact from the box score statistics. SPM is listed in points above the average player playing per 100 possessions--so if that player was replaced by an average player for 100 possessions, SPM is the difference in the final margin. The total of all player's contributions will sum to the actual scoring margin (each team's total will equal half of the overall margin). The original method was outlined by Dan Rosenbaum at 82games.com; recently additional factors were added by Neil Paine at Basketball-Reference.com. I previously compiled the complete 2008-2009 NCAA numbers on this forum.
