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sybarite

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We are one-third of the way through the conference season, and the big guns are yet to meet each other. Baylor and Texas are both 6-0, and OU is 5-1. Baylor and Texas beat WV in Morgantown. We let that one get away. Now, we get Austin.

5-4 Jr G Brooke McCarty 13.62 ppg, 3.38 reb, 55 assists, 42.50% from three
5-11 Jr G Ariel Atkins 12.64 ppg, 4.29 reb, 29 steals, 32.35% from three
6-3 Fr F Joyner Holmes 11.06 ppg, 6.88 reb, 19 blocks, only 42.86% from field
6-5 Sr C Kelsey Lang 9.62 ppg, 9.06 reb, 35 blocks
5-9 Sr G Breanna Taylor 5.38 ppg, 4.12 reb, 27 steals

5-9 Soph G Lashann Higgs 6.81 ppg
5-8 Fr G Alecia Sutton 4.06 ppg
6-0 Fr G Jada Underwood 4.92 ppg

These are the players who play at least ten minutes per game.

Texas shoots 45.09% from the field, 34.03% from three. They only shoot 65..17% from the line. They hold their opponents to 35.21% from the field and 27.14% from three. The key to a Texas win is that they dominate the boards: 43.88 to 31.62. Few teams can beat you if they get 12 fewer rebounds. Texas gets over 16 offensive boards per game. They tend to get about one and a half fewer turnovers and two more blocks than their opponents.

Texas had a good pre-conference schedule this year: at Stanford, Mississippi State, and Connecticut. They got South Carolina in Austin, along with Tennessee. They beat only Tennessee. Right now, they might well also take South Carolina and Stanford. They are better for having played those teams. But, they don't appear to be a team quite in the Baylor range yet.

If you look at common opponents, the only advantage that Texas had was in beating West Virginia, and they did it without hitting a single three. They hounded West Virginia into 21 turnovers to their 11 as their guards had 11 steals. They took the game to WV. We didn't.

Other than that, we beat Tech in Norman worse than they did in Austin. We both handled Iowa State in Ames, a game in which they almost lost. We beat Kansas worse in Lawrence, despite the fact that Texas outrebounded them 61-35. They did do better against TCU.

It is interesting that Iowa State and West Virginia had more rebounds than Texas. If Texas can't dominate the boards against us, I like our chances.
 
This game will define a lot. Texas and OU are close in talent, and they are both beginning to peak. Holmes is becoming more consistent, just as Lang is beginning to falter a bit. When Lang falters, she is still doing a good job on the boards and on defense. Holmes is still averaging only about 43% from the field, which is low for a forward.

I think Vivi-Nancy-EJ will about offset Lang-Holmes, maybe even a slight advantage to OU, except that it is in Austin.

Texas' guards killed Iowa State in the last minute or so to beat them in Ames. It was that close. I think Texas scored the last eight points in a seven point win. It was McCarty, Atkins, and Higgs that gave Iowa State fits. McCarty has always seemed pretty good against us. They are not a three-point shooting team, but they can hit them if left uncovered. But, they love to drive to the rim.

Maddie ran Atkins nuts last year. If they are matched up again, that will probably be the key matchup. Hold Atkins down, and Texas suffers. Maddie is just as athletic, and a bit longer. A good game by Maddie might mean a win, even if only on defense.
 
Thanks for the good analysis Sybarite. We need to at least play well against Texas.
 
rpi after 1/15

9. Baylor
12. Kansas State
14. Texas
23. Oklahoma
28. Texas Tech
39. Oklahoma State
69. West Virginia
114. Iowa State
119. Kansas
125. TCU

17. Kentucky
41. South Dakota State
43. California
58. Ark Little Rock
80. BYU
103. Colorado State
195. Oral Roberts

AP

2. Baylor
12. Texas
20. Oklahoma
22. Kansas State
24. West Virginia
 
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Last year in Austin:

---Maddie, Peyton, Gioya, and Gabbi were 7 of 36 from the field, 1 of 18 from three

---Vivi and KK were 15 of 21 for 36 points.

---Peyton and Maddie were 14 of 16 from the line.

---Texas won the rebound battle 42-29

---Boyette and Davenport scored 36 for Texas who won 83-76 (by seven)

Last year in Norman:

---Maddie, Peyton, Gioya, and Gabbi were 11 of 27 from the field, 6 of 15 from three

---KK, Vivi, Maddie, Peyton, and Gioya all scored in double figures

---only McCarty (19) scored in double figures for Texas

---Texas won the rebound battle, 45-38. OU won the game, 74-56
 
I am cautiously optimistic about this game. If we come out firing, I think we can take this game from Texas. The team seems confident about it.
 
If OU can hit outside shots, make layups and not turnover the ball 20 times they can at least have a shot.
 
I agree. Play hard nosed defense. Limit our turnovers, and for goodness sake, hit our free throws. We will have to shoot the ball well and stay close in the rebounding area. I am optimistic about our chances.
 
This game will define a lot. Texas and OU are close in talent, and they are both beginning to peak. Holmes is becoming more consistent, just as Lang is beginning to falter a bit. When Lang falters, she is still doing a good job on the boards and on defense. Holmes is still averaging only about 43% from the field, which is low for a forward.

I think Vivi-Nancy-EJ will about offset Lang-Holmes, maybe even a slight advantage to OU, except that it is in Austin.

Texas' guards killed Iowa State in the last minute or so to beat them in Ames. It was that close. I think Texas scored the last eight points in a seven point win. It was McCarty, Atkins, and Higgs that gave Iowa State fits. McCarty has always seemed pretty good against us. They are not a three-point shooting team, but they can hit them if left uncovered. But, they love to drive to the rim.

Maddie ran Atkins nuts last year. If they are matched up again, that will probably be the key matchup. Hold Atkins down, and Texas suffers. Maddie is just as athletic, and a bit longer. A good game by Maddie might mean a win, even if only on defense.

Really? I beg to differ. Rather, I feel what makes us closer than what's on paper is the basketball IQ of the OU players compared to TX. They are much deeper and more talented than us, in my opinion.

This OU team can play with Texas if they're motivated. We need stellar games from three people to win: Maddie, Peyton, and one of the bigs (preferably Vivi).
 
Gioya has done a couple good things in this game but wowwww her mistakes are putting us in a hole.

I'm pleased with Gabbi's rebounding efforts but really no one else's at this point.
 
First time for me to see texas...they have more talent than OU..looks like another coach out recruiting SC
 
Also Texas built their lead when Peyton left the game with her second foul.
 
OU coaches and returning players need to go to UConn and let them show OU and the coaches about making layups and passing. Hate to keep saying it but year after year..this is about the same level as a decent high school team
 
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Well, once again we wilt offensively -- at least so far.


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Right off the bat, I see so many little things that make me wonder if the kids are getting coached up . Basic defensive fundamentals missing
 
If I were SC, I would bench Gioya for the rest of the game. Seniors cannot make three consecutive mistakes in a game this big. Otherwise, I actually feel we are playing well. Once we get Peyton and Gabbi back from foul trouble, we should get back on the straight and narrow. I hope SC rips a few of them a new one. It sounds like they need it.

Vivi is playing pretty well, as is Maddie. TT has made a few good plays, similar to Chelsea. Nancy needs to be more dominant. You don't get points for simply running down the floor. That's about desire - that cannot be taught. I can only hope she decides she wants to dominate.
 
Right off the bat, I see so many little things that make me wonder if the kids are getting coached up . Basic defensive fundamentals missing
I think its been time for a while to build a fire under the coaching staff.
 
If I were SC, I would bench Gioya for the rest of the game. Seniors cannot make three consecutive mistakes in a game this big. Otherwise, I actually feel we are playing well. Once we get Peyton and Gabbi back from foul trouble, we should get back on the straight and narrow. I hope SC rips a few of them a new one. It sounds like they need it.

Vivi is playing pretty well, as is Maddie. TT has made a few good plays, similar to Chelsea. Nancy needs to be more dominant. You don't get points for simply running down the floor. That's about desire - that cannot be taught. I can only hope she decides she wants to dominate.
I don't think texas is really that good either, so OU could get back in it.
 
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