25-26 SEC Projections

[CoachTalk]

Random fan.
Not an expert.
Not saying anything else but it’s conversation!!

Just posting for discussion on SEC.

 

[CoachTalk]

OP’s current SEC basketball rankings, based on projected rosters+starting 5’s TODAY.

1. Kentucky.
(Lowe, Oweh, Dioubate, JQ, BG)

2. Auburn.
(TP, Overton, Freeman, Hall, Murphy)

3. Arkansas.
(Acuff, Wagner, Knox, Brazile, Ewin)

4. Florida.
(Lee, Brown, Ingram, Condon, Chinyelu)

5. Alabama.
(AH, Wrightsell, Bethea, TBB, Sherrel)

6. Oklahoma.
(Brown, Pack, Nwankwo, Davis, Wague)

7. LSU
(Thomas Jr, Mozley, King, Sutton, Reed)

8. Mississippi State.
(McGhee, JHubb, Jones, Achor, Ballard)

9. Missouri.
(Robinson, Mack, Crews, MM, Phillips)

10.Georgia.
(Wilkinson, Cain, DJ, Catchings, Cyril)

11. Texas.
(Pope, Weaver, Mark, Swain, Matas)

12. Vanderbilt.
(Collins, Tanner, Nickel, Glock, J-Wash)

13. Ole Miss.
(Johnson, Storr, Chest, Jordan, Dia)

14. Tennessee.
(J-Gill, Boswell, Evans, Carey, Okpara)

15. South Carolina.
(Meech, Knox, Stute, Strong, Essandoko)

16. Texas A&M.
(Lane, Holloway, Green, Mgbako, Clem)

 

[pnkranger]

I'll go with:

1. Kentucky
2. Auburn
3. Arkansas
4. Florida
5. Alabama
6. Mississippi State
7. Tennessee
8. Oklahoma
9.Georgia
10. LSU
11. Texas
12. Missouri
13. Vanderbilt
14. Ole Miss
15. Texas A&M
16. South Carolina

First 5 looks right. Chaos after that. Not as strong at the bottom this coming year. Top 9-10 with byes in the NCAA tournament. Everyone else praying. I expect that Ole Miss will end up in the 6-10 range and maybe Georgia and LSU drop. But as of right now rosters, this is where I'm at.

 

[austing7]

1. Auburn
2. Arkansas
3. Kentucky
4. Florida
5. Alabama
6. Tennessee
7. Oklahoma
8. Ole Miss
9. Texas
10. Miss State
11. Mizzou
12. Vandy
13. LSU
14. Georgia
15. Texas A&M
16. South Carolina

Feel pretty confident in Auburn, pending that Tahaad returns. Think that Arkansas will be pretty good with the continuity they have returning. Definitely think 1-5 are on their own level and there is a slight drop-off before it gets down towards the teams like Mizzou.

 

[NickZepp]

We are gonna likely need to be top 8 at least to make the Tournament next year most likely. I think the SEC is gonna be a bit more down compared to this year. the top teams are gonna still be good and we may not be as good as the top 5 or 6 but there is no way the league is as deep as it was this year.

 

[WichitaSooner]

FWIW, which IMHO is nothing because it is way too early for this kind of exercise since rosters aren't finalized, Jon Rothstein doesn't have OU in his top 45. The following SEC teams are in his rankings:

9. Arky
13. UK
15. Auburn
16. Florida
17. Tennessee
20. Alabama
27. Mizzou
31. Texas
34. Miss. State
43. Georgia
44. LSU

 

[Maverick008]

FWIW, which IMHO is nothing because it is way too early for this kind of exercise since rosters aren't finalized, Jon Rothstein doesn't have OU in his top 45. The following SEC teams are in his rankings:

9. Arky
13. UK
15. Auburn
16. Florida
17. Tennessee
20. Alabama
27. Mizzou
31. Texas
34. Miss. State
43. Georgia
44. LSU

I say this without having any idea, but could this be due to not knowing Pack's eligibility? He still has to get a medical waiver from the NCAA correct? And Brown isn't officially a Sooner unless I missed it? Which could also have something to do with it right? Again, I have no idea but just guessing.

 

[WichitaSooner]

I say this without having any idea, but could this be due to not knowing Pack's eligibility? He still has to get a medical waiver from the NCAA correct? And Brown isn't officially a Sooner unless I missed it? Which could also have something to do with it right? Again, I have no idea but just guessing.

Hard to know. I doubt he would worry about Pack since everyone seems to assume he will be eligible, but maybe he won't consider Brown till there is an official announcement. He does update the rankings daily, so I guess we will be able to tell once Brown announces. Notaburner, any idea if that is still imminent?

 

[notaburner]

Hard to know. I doubt he would worry about Pack since everyone seems to assume he will be eligible, but maybe he won't consider Brown till there is an official announcement. He does update the rankings daily, so I guess we will be able to tell once Brown announces. Notaburner, any idea if that is still imminent?

I misjudged the timetable, took an educated guess. No issues or anything. Asking around when we can expect a formal announcement.

 

[StoopsBros]

I'll wait until all the rosters are set but last year I predicted OU to finish 5-13 in-conference. Right now, I'd say .500. But again, need to see every complete roster.

 

[cbertus6]

I worry about the defense and rebounding with the roster as it stands today. I think it is better overall (deeper), but without a player of Fears' caliber. The situation at the 5 is not something I'm crazy comfortable with unless Rogers overperforms. I'll go 8-10 in conference and without knowing all of the teams we play in the noncon I'll say 12-1 given our propensity to schedule a relatively easy slate. I guess that means as we stand today I have us at roughly 20-11 which would likely put us at about a 7 seed in the tourney. Lot of variables could change that between now and the start of the season

 

[TEvans4Three]

I'd be happy with a top half finish. Bc that is guaranteed tourney and most likely 8+ seed.

Wish we had another big.

 

[WichitaSooner]

I worry about the defense and rebounding with the roster as it stands today. I think it is better overall (deeper), but without a player of Fears' caliber. The situation at the 5 is not something I'm crazy comfortable with unless Rogers overperforms. I'll go 8-10 in conference and without knowing all of the teams we play in the noncon I'll say 12-1 given our propensity to schedule a relatively easy slate. I guess that means as we stand today I have us at roughly 20-11 which would likely put us at about a 7 seed in the tourney. Lot of variables could change that between now and the start of the season

I wish we would hear some info about the schedule. The traditional tourneys are dying -- the fields in Maui and Atlantis this coming season are horrible because coaches don't like the 3-game format and because so many teams now want to play in the Vegas NIL tourneys. If we don't get in a tourney with a decent field, Moser will have to step up the schedule because those events have been the only good games we have played the past two seasons. And I don't know if the Jordan Invitation (or whatever it is called) is going to continue and they will just recycle the opponents.

 

[TSSR]

I'll wait until all the rosters are set but last year I predicted OU to finish 5-13 in-conference. Right now, I'd say .500. But again, need to see every complete roster.

I predicted us to make the tournament. me>StoopsBros.

 

[daqman]

I'd be happy with a top half finish. Bc that is guaranteed tourney and most likely 8+ seed.

Wish we had another big.

yeah....with wague as our starter....best i would expect is 12th

 

[WichitaSooner]

I say this without having any idea, but could this be due to not knowing Pack's eligibility? He still has to get a medical waiver from the NCAA correct? And Brown isn't officially a Sooner unless I missed it? Which could also have something to do with it right? Again, I have no idea but just guessing.

We still aren't in his top 45 even with the official announcement of the three signings.

The Athletic released an article on portal winners and loses. We didn't appear on either list -- which is actually an improvement over last year. That said, I think it is safe to say that the national media are still a bit skeptical of our overall roster. My guess is that they recognize that we still have a huge weakness in the front court, and unless that is addressed, it is hard to put us in the "winners" category even with three good signings.

 

[BoulderSooner]

My guess is that they recognize that we still have a huge weakness in the front court, and unless that is addressed, it is hard to put us in the "winners" category even with three good signings.

while i generally agree with this ... I would also say that the front court is in a better spot then it was last season .

 

[cbertus6]

while i generally agree with this ... I would also say that the front court is in a better spot then it was last season .

I think I agree with you but that is a LOW bar. And it also depends on Rogers as a freshman outproducing Godwin as we stand today because we haven’t really added anyone else

 

[daqman]

I think I agree with you but that is a LOW bar. And it also depends on Rogers as a freshman outproducing Godwin as we stand today because we haven’t really added anyone else

very low bar.
and i would argue we haven't cleared it

 

[WichitaSooner]

while i generally agree with this ... I would also say that the front court is in a better spot then it was last season .

It's probably close right now. Davis as opposed to Moore remains to be seen -- Moore struggled the last few weeks of the season, but his numbers were as good as/better than Davis', and it remains to be seen how Davis adjusts to a much better league. Mo should be at least slightly improved, and should get more PT since Moser's favorite has graduated. Luke was basically just a warm body and Sam was overmatched most nights, so they don't leave big shoes to fill, but I have no clue what to expect from Rogers or any of the new bigs (including Atak). Would anyone be shocked if they all end up like Cole, meaning they play a few minutes in Q-4 games and then never see the floor as we start playing real teams? There is a wide range of outcomes for all those guys, but recent history makes me think it's unlikely we will get much out of them.