Bubble Watch

If Mizzou and Texas go 1 and done and we win tonight is there an argument we could be right there with them?
 
Again, it's both. There is a reason Auburn was/is ahead of us despite their record being worse.

so you're saying if we lost to better teams we'd be fine?
lost more games to better teams?
makes no sense. just win the games on your schedule and everything works out.
 
so you're saying if we lost to better teams we'd be fine?
lost more games to better teams?
makes no sense. just win the games on your schedule and everything works out.
They have a win at Florida that’s massive for them.

We could’ve taken out the SWAC games and beaten mid-level MAC schools in the 100’s and that would probably have us in the last 4. Metrics would be higher

Also losing to ASU, blowing leads to Nebraska, Mizzou, Arky and Bama and leading A&M late too I believe.

Lot of what ifs that you can’t take back now: but the fact is this team is playing much better the last 8-10 games which at least gives hope for a win tonight. 2.5 point spread that’s a fishy rat line
 
so you're saying if we lost to better teams we'd be fine?
lost more games to better teams?
makes no sense. just win the games on your schedule and everything works out.
Is it really that tough to understand? Wins matter. Who you play matters, too.

Again, if your theory is right, why is Auburn ahead of us in just about every bracket? And if all that matters is winning, why is Miami likely to be an 11 seed? Because they played an awful schedule.

If we had a few more Q-2 wins, or even high Q-3, to replace our laundry list of Q-4 wins, we would be in much better shape. It’s not even debatable.
 
They have a win at Florida that’s massive for them.

We could’ve taken out the SWAC games and beaten mid-level MAC schools in the 100’s and that would probably have us in the last 4. Metrics would be higher

Also losing to ASU, blowing leads to Nebraska, Mizzou, Arky and Bama and leading A&M late too I believe.

Lot of what ifs that you can’t take back now: but the fact is this team is playing much better the last 8-10 games which at least gives hope for a win tonight. 2.5 point spread that’s a fishy rat line

we don't want a coach/team that beats mid-level mac schools to get in the tournament.
we need a coach/team that can beat good teams in the sec.....especially at home.
beat arky/bama/texas/a&m at home and we're not on the bubble right now.
 
My take on the Miami (OH) thing, which admittedly is worth nothing. They went 31-0 in the regular season. No matter how easy/difficult the schedule is, if that was easy then it would happen way more often than it does. There are 68 teams in the tournament. If you can't make room for a team that didn't lose a single game during the course of their season, what are we doing? Does 17-15 Auburn need to be in over them? To leave them out means to include a team that lost almost as many games as it won. Right or wrong, that doesn't seem right to me. I say that as an analytics guy who would usually be on the other side of this argument.
 
I think we're down to 1-2 of Auburn, OU, and UT making it. OU needs to be the only one playing Friday (and hopefully Saturday). If we make it to Saturday, I assume we'll be a lock. That gets us in the 6+ quad 1 range.
I see it this way as well. But think we will be out unless we make it to the semis on Saturday. I don’t think losing in the quarterfinals of a post season tournament is going to overly sway anyone after our past sins.
 
My take on the Miami (OH) thing, which admittedly is worth nothing. They went 31-0 in the regular season. No matter how easy/difficult the schedule is, if that was easy then it would happen way more often than it does. There are 68 teams in the tournament. If you can't make room for a team that didn't lose a single game during the course of their season, what are we doing? Does 17-15 Auburn need to be in over them? To leave them out means to include a team that lost almost as many games as it won. Right or wrong, that doesn't seem right to me. I say that as an analytics guy who would usually be on the other side of this argument.
I agree. I can’t imagine the committee walking out of the room and leaving them out, regardless of analytics.
 
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