Bubble Watch

So, why are we still so low and bubbly???

Easy (partial) answer, non-conference schedule. (also just winning games)

Our non-conference schedule wins do absolutely nothing for our resume and WAB. It is almost a NET zero.
In EvanMiya we are the 33rd best team on the year, efficiency wise, and yet...we are 50th in the tournament resume.

How come??? Resume Metrics

Let's look at our resume, below Belmont, Yale and Akron for 51st place. Listed on EvanMiya as (Lots of Work to Do) "to get in"


Resume Wins = 4.7
+
Resume Losses = -5.8
=
Resume Quality = -1.0


Here are the snapshots of both...

Resume Wins:
1773399685628.png

Resume Losses:
1773399657072.png

Betweem Stetson, ORU, Alcon St, St Francis, UMKC, and MVSU ... we gained 0.03 points for our resume builder.

Yes, that Arizona St loss hurt us, and the Nebraska win would have been a .7 point swing most likely as well, but it doesnt help when you get no boost or bonus from 7 opponents on your roster.
 
TEvans4Three said:
So, why are we still so low and bubbly???

Easy (partial) answer, non-conference schedule. (also just winning games)

Our non-conference schedule wins do absolutely nothing for our resume and WAB. It is almost a NET zero.
In EvanMiya we are the 33rd best team on the year, efficiency wise, and yet...we are 50th in the tournament resume.

How come??? Resume Metrics

Let's look at our resume, below Belmont, Yale and Akron for 51st place. Listed on EvanMiya as (Lots of Work to Do) "to get in"


Resume Wins = 4.7
+
Resume Losses = -5.8
=
Resume Quality = -1.0


Here are the snapshots of both...

Resume Wins:
View attachment 3000

Resume Losses:
View attachment 2999

Betweem Stetson, ORU, Alcon St, St Francis, UMKC, and MVSU ... we gained 0.03 points for our resume builder.

Yes, that Arizona St loss hurt us, and the Nebraska win would have been a .7 point swing most likely as well, but it doesnt help when you get no boost or bonus from 7 opponents on your roster.
Click to expand...
Careful, the flat-earthers on the board will not like this post. There will be at least a couple “I don’t think it’s our noncon schedule that’s hurting us, it’s just the number of losses we have that has us on the bubble” posts.
 
Ou up to 47 NET. Should rise further if they play Arkansas decently close.

SDSU and the lobos are at 46-45 and play today. I expect ou to jump the loser even with an ou loss (as long as ou keeps it respectable).
 
TINY said:
Ou up to 47 NET. Should rise further if they play Arkansas decently close.

SDSU and the lobos are at 46-45 and play today. I expect ou to jump the loser even with an ou loss (as long as ou keeps it respectable).
Click to expand...
Nice info! Updated chart below...
1773404437482.png
 
MercedeSooner said:
Nothing is ever certain especially when you're on the bubble, but I don't know OU has had a team playing this well this late in the season when it mattered. Much easier to push you off the bubble when you end the season limping in which this team clearly is not.
Click to expand...

OU has never played this well late in the season in years they were projected to miss the Dance prior to the conference tourney. In 1997 and 1998 we played our way into the Dance by winning 2 and 3 games respectfully, but we weren't on fire during the end of the regular season like this year.
 
I think we’re in right now but another win makes it a lock. Its a shame we schedule so terrible tho because prior to moser, we always scheduled really well that gave our resume a big boost.
 
WichitaSooner said:
Careful, the flat-earthers on the board will not like this post. There will be at least a couple “I don’t think it’s our noncon schedule that’s hurting us, it’s just the number of losses we have that has us on the bubble” posts.
Click to expand...

so a couple more wins....say at home against texas who sucks...and a&m who we just rolled.....wouldn't have made any difference?
 
daqman said:
so a couple more wins....say at home against texas who sucks...and a&m who we just rolled.....wouldn't have made any difference?
Click to expand...

Of course that would make a difference. Just winning the misery game would have OU safely in at this point.

That doesn’t mean that scheduling a couple crappy MAC teams around 175 NET instead of a couple 280 net teams wouldn’t help a bit either.
 
Lunardi has us as the First Team Out, ahead of Auburn, Indiana and New Mexico, and behind VCU, Missouri, SMU and Texas (last team in).
He also thinks Miami (OH) is in.

ESPN's Bubble Watch: "The Sooners played themselves onto the bubble at the end of the regular season and have kept the momentum rolling in the SEC tournament with wins over South Carolina and Texas A&M. They have now racked up eight wins in 10 games, a stretch that includes all of their Quadrant 1 wins. Amazingly, their chances in the forecast models are now up to the 50% range after blowing out the Aggies. And while they still rank in the 50s nationally on résumé, the chaos around the SEC bubble has left the door open for them to keep building their case for the conference's final at-large nod."
 
bearcreekfan said:
Lunardi has us as the First Team Out, ahead of Auburn, Indiana and New Mexico, and behind VCU, Missouri, SMU and Texas (last team in).
He also thinks Miami (OH) is in.

ESPN's Bubble Watch: "The Sooners played themselves onto the bubble at the end of the regular season and have kept the momentum rolling in the SEC tournament with wins over South Carolina and Texas A&M. They have now racked up eight wins in 10 games, a stretch that includes all of their Quadrant 1 wins. Amazingly, their chances in the forecast models are now up to the 50% range after blowing out the Aggies. And while they still rank in the 50s nationally on résumé, the chaos around the SEC bubble has left the door open for them to keep building their case for the conference's final at-large nod."
Click to expand...
Seems fair.
 
Check out the NET and look at the team's closest to us. Our miniscule number of Q3 games is killing us.

I so wish we had an OU basketball beat writer worth a damn, because if/when we just miss the field, if someone would specifically ask, "What factors kept OU out," I can almost guarantee that the chair would mention the noncon SOS.
 
WichitaSooner said:
Check out the NET and look at the team's closest to us. Our miniscule number of Q3 games is killing us.

I so wish we had an OU basketball beat writer worth a damn, because if/when we just miss the field, if someone would specifically ask, "What factors kept OU out," I can almost guarantee that the chair would mention the noncon SOS.
Click to expand...
Texas, Duke, Arizona, Tennessee, Indiana, Texas Tech, Auburn, Texas A&M have the same number of quad 4 games as OU (7).

Kentucky has 6 quad 4 games. 2 less quad 2 but 2 more quad 3.

Arkansas has 6 quad 4 games

Georgia has 9 quad 4 games

It’s not like OU is the only team playing 7 quad 4 games.

OU’s SOS is 32. That’s not bad.

NCAA College Basketball Strength of Schedule Rankings & Ratings

NCAA College Basketball Strength of Schedule Rankings & Ratings from TeamRankings.com, your source for NCAAB computer power rankings.
www.teamrankings.com www.teamrankings.com
 
Last edited:
From CBS:

Resetting the bubble heading into Friday​

With Oklahoma's 83-63 win over Texas A&M, the Sooners have — for now — replaced SMU as the last team in the field of 68. As it pertains to the bubble, the games to watch on Friday will be in the Atlantic 10 and Mountain West, specifically with VCU. The Rams must avoid a loss to Duquesne in the A10 quarterfinals, or else they could slide and open the door back up for teams currently on the outside looking in.

Among those teams are San Diego State and New Mexico, who are trying to make noise in the Mountain West Tournament. As for OU, a win over Arkansas in the SEC Tournament quarterfinals would be strongly advised.

LAST FOUR IN: Santa Clara, Mizzou, VCU, Oklahoma

FIRST FOUR OUT: SMU, Auburn, New Mexico, Seton Hall
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Similar threads

Sooner Season
Beep.......Beep......Beep........
2
Replies
23
Views
2K
sooner333
S
S
Bracketology
2
Replies
25
Views
3K
MsProudSooner
M
Sooner04
A Rainy Night in Fort Worth
2 3
Replies
51
Views
5K
mict085
mict085
C
The beginning of the end?
4 5 6
Replies
113
Views
8K
bearcreekfan
B
W
Playing the "What If" Game
2
Replies
28
Views
6K
scrybe
S
Back
Top