Does Texas Make It?

[SoonerJK12]

RPI #40. 3 top 50 RPI wins.

I think the best thing they have going for them is that their worst lost is Stanford (RPI #56). They really don't have any bad losses.

Obviously they need to beat Kansas State in their last regular season game, but does that get them in? Do they need to win a Big 12 tournament game?

I say that they just squeak in, but I won't be surprised if they are on the outside looking in.

 

[BoulderSooner]

beat ksu and win 1 game in big 12 (and don't lose to tech tcu ksu or osu in kc)

 

[WTSooner]

Lose to KSU and I don't think they are in, unless they find a way to win 2-3 games in the Big 12 Tourney.

Beat KSU, and they might be in. Beat KSU and also win a game in the Big 12 Tourney, and they are in.

 

[SoonerJK12]

They have a similar resume as Oklahoma did back a couple years ago when we were a 10 seed. We finished #44 in the RPI with 8 top 100 wins I think. Texas has 6 top 100 wins. And we had worse losses than Texas does this year. We had a couple losses outside the top 100 that year.

Although, we had a "signature" win against Kansas that year which probably helped a lot. They don't have one of those.

 

[Sooner04]

They have a similar resume as Oklahoma did back a couple years ago when we were a 10 seed. We finished #44 in the RPI with 8 top 100 wins I think. Texas has 6 top 100 wins. And we had worse losses than Texas does this year. We had a couple losses outside the top 100 that year.

Although, we had a "signature" win against Kansas that year which probably helped a lot. They don't have one of those.

We also finished 11-7 in the league, which helped more than anything.

 

[stormspencer]

Lose to KSU and I don't think they are in, unless they find a way to win 2-3 games in the Big 12 Tourney.

Beat KSU, and they might be in. Beat KSU and also win a game in the Big 12 Tourney, and they are in.

I'm not really saying anything that hasn't been said. If Texas beats K-State, then I think they are pretty much in.....not because their resume is strong, but rather the bubble this year is weak...relatively speaking. For example, these are the types of teams that they are competing against:

Colorado State - only have 2 top 50 wins and 1 bad loss
Purdue - 4 top 50 wins, but 3 bad losses including North Florida and Garder Webb
Boise - 3 top 50 wins and 3 bad losses
BYU - has 1 top 50 win (@Gonzaga) but 3 bad losses
Temple - 2 top 50 wins, 1 bad loss
Davidson - 1 top 50 win, 2 bad losses
A*M - 2 top 50 wins (barely), 0 bad losses
Pitt - 2 top 50 wins, 3 bad losses (one of those is a 200+ rpi loss to Va Tech)
UCLA - 2 top 50 wins and 2 bad losses

If Texas bests K-State and gets to 20 wins (one win in the Big 12 tourney)...then I would say they are probably an 11 seed, maybe even a 10 based upon their SOS (#8) and their worst loss being to #56 (Stanford).

 

[stormspencer]

For anyone who has interest in the process of bubble team decisions, here is a good article:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/putting-numbers-to-the-ncaa-tournaments-so-called-bubble/2015/03/02/b9224b4c-c121-11e4-9271-610273846239_story.html

 

[Crimson King]

What about the Oklahoma Aggies? The other night the homers were pumping the "beat TCU and they're in" line (how that helps is beyond me), but their resume is similar to texas, they will lose at WVU and have a losing conference record. But somehow Lundardi has them as a 9 seed. Not seeing it.