I agree with with you about Ohio. Last season they beat Michigan and South Florida. They also gave Louisville a run for there money. They should only be better this year. If we manage to win it will be a very good sign.
Also, the bolded statement is obviously false.
OU will be enough better this season that they will run the good mid majors out of the gym at home. The trouble spots are at Arkansas and the holiday tourney. ORU on the road will probably give them a closer game than Ohio.