SoonerfanTU
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Why do you say that?
I think TMG is going to be an All-conference performer. I think Cade Davis will have a great senior year scoring 10+ almost 100% of the time and averaging about 14 or so. Plus I think Cade is going to be the best defender on the team and one of the better defenders in the league.
Tiny could be a double double guy next year (he is close this year and if he could stay on the court he would be). Fitzgerald has had a nice season and I think he can be a good role player. Get one to two garbage buckets a game, hit one to two jump shots a game, convert one to two TMG perfect passes a game. I don't see 8 points as a stretch for Fitzgerald. He came to OU known for hardwork so I think he will be a respectable rebounder and defender as he matures.
Cam is an impact type/border line McD AA (I know he just missed the cut) recruit so it does not freak me out to see his name in the starting lineup. TMG, Tiny, WW and Blake were all quite productive as freshman (Gallon is probably the least productive and he is averaging 10.4 points a game and 8 rebounds - that is darn good for a freshman).
Several reasons.
TMG will be fine, but I still expect him to struggle with defense. Some of that has to do with his height. Other will just effort and want to.
Defensive struggles in general. I like Davis better as a defender guarding 3's and even small 4's, rather than 2's. I know OSU was beating everybody the other day, but Davis got ABUSED off the dribble in that game. Badly. I just don't think he can keep most 2's in front of him all game. Cam isn't known as a defender, probably hasn't played much defense, and will be learning a new defensive system (assuming we have one). I don't see Tiny ever being a good defender. And Fitz isn't bad, but certainly isn't a difference maker.
On offense, I'm not sold Tiny will improve. To me he doesn't have the attitude to improve. I think he thinks he can get by without developing inside. You can litterally see it killing him to have to go bang inside. Not what he wants to do. Fitz isn't going to be a guy you can throw it to inside. And I expect Cam to struggle quite a bit. He isn't big, and he won't be able to just "out-athlete" kids in college. I like his potential, but he is closer to Tiny then TMG/Blake when it comes to impact during the first year. I really expect him to struggle with finding shots within the offense. And he isn't a great shooter, so he can't rely on getting open J's and knocking them down. Not his game. And those of you that think Cade has been great, might want to go check his percentages. He is getting more shots than in the past, but he isn't scoring the ball effeciently enough to be a top 2-3 scorer on a good team.
I just don't see it. We'll be younger and less experienced then we were this year. We lose a 4 year starter, and another guy that has been around for a LONG time in Wright. And our superstar SG in Willie. And we'll replace that with young players, while TMG has a year of experience, and who knows if Gallon even plays again this year.
I'm not saying record-wise we wont' be better. That is dependent on alot of things other than if the team is actually better. But I don't think it'll be more than 2-3 games better when it's all said and done. Unless this team just tanks and doesn't win again, then it might be 3-5 games better next year. I see kind of a bubble team at best with that lineup.