path to an NIT bid

[seniorsooner]

Here's what we need to do the rest of the way, IMHO

@ KU - L
ISU - W
Mizzou - L
@ Tech - W
Texas - W
@ ISU - L
OSU - W
@ baylor - L
@ Texas - L
A&M - W

5 more wins puts us at 18-12 heading into the Big 12 tourney. With a 1st rd win, I think we're a lock for the NIT. We still might get in even with a 1st rd loss. Thoughts?

 

[Sooner_In_MI]

Yes, and if we win 2 more of those games, or 1 more and then make it to the Big XII semis, we're in the NCAA. Having said that, I think the NIT is by far the most likely option at this point, then followed by the NCAAs, then followed by missing the postseason altogether.

 

[KCRuf/Nek]

Should we continue to improve I don't see why we can't win another of those road games. My overall concern is that our margain for error in most of those games is still reahter small. I think we'd be a better fit for the NIT also but would never turn down an opportunity in the NCAA.

 

[seniorsooner]

Sadly I feel that the collapses at Cincy and A&M have deep sixed our chances at the ncaas unless we win the 5 games I indicated above plus at least 2 more of them. We would need a "splash" win like Mizzou in Norman and then to win At ISU and/or at Texas.

 

[sperry]

Sadly I feel that the collapses at Cincy and A&M have deep sixed our chances at the ncaas unless we win the 5 games I indicated above plus at least 2 more of them. We would need a "splash" win like Mizzou in Norman and then to win At ISU and/or at Texas.

There's always the Big XII tourney to make a splash as well. If we went 9-9 in conference and won 2 games in the tournament we would have a shot.

 

[mardaddy51]

Honestly, there are only 2 guaranteed loses on the remaining schedule. @ KU and @ Baylor.

If OSU can beat Mizzou at home, so can OU. They could sweep Texas(doubtful, but they swept K-State!!!!) and ISU(again doubtful).

The way they have played the last 3 games is definitely uplifting. NIT should be the goal this year, but I am still holding out for that NCAA invite that all the ESPN "know-it-alls" will question....and rightfully so.

 

[Sooner_In_MI]

Honestly, there are only 2 guaranteed loses on the remaining schedule. @ KU and @ Baylor.

If OSU can beat Mizzou at home, so can OU. They could sweep Texas(doubtful, but they swept K-State!!!!) and ISU(again doubtful).

The way they have played the last 3 games is definitely uplifting. NIT should be the goal this year, but I am still holding out for that NCAA invite that all the ESPN "know-it-alls" will question....and rightfully so.

The problem is, I also see only 2 more guaranteed wins. The last 10 games will certainly be interesting...in the end I think we'll probably go 4-6 or 5-5 down the stretch and make the NIT, but who knows.

 

[NickZepp]

NIT is looking probable now. NCAA is still a long shot. We would have to beat Missouri and one of the road games or get to the Big 12 Title game.

 

[stoopified]

I think 4 wins gets us to the NIT.

 

[DenverSooner]

This team can win in Austin and possibly Ames. I doubt they win in Waco or Lawrence but upsetting Missouri is not out of the question. OSU did it.

I think the NIT is most likely but I am not willing to concede anything and I am pretty sure coach Kruger and the players are not conceding anything either.

 

[BoulderSooner]

if we go 8-10 in the big 12 and win at least 1 big 12 tourney game we would be right on the bubble of the NCAA's

 

[NormanPride]

if we go 8-10 in the big 12 and win at least 1 big 12 tourney game we would be right on the bubble of the NCAA's

Depends on the wins (obviously).

I think this team has what it takes to get to the NCAAs. We would have to hit one hell of a hot streak, and beat Mizzou at home or Texas on the road to even have a shot.

What I'm looking for, however, is a good representation in the Big 12 tourney. It's been so long since we've been relevant there, that I really want a couple wins. That would be so very sweet!

 

[AdaSooner]

Here's what we need to do the rest of the way, IMHO

@ KU - L
ISU - W
Mizzou - L
@ Tech - W
Texas - W
@ ISU - L
OSU - W
@ baylor - L
@ Texas - L
A&M - W

5 more wins puts us at 18-12 heading into the Big 12 tourney. With a 1st rd win, I think we're a lock for the NIT. We still might get in even with a 1st rd loss. Thoughts?

Interestingly, I did my own analysis of the games left on our schedule a couple of days ago and came to the same conclusion, exactly as you have them listed in your wins and losses.

I said several weeks ago that 18 wins would get OU an NIT invite, but that the only way we'll get an NCAA bid with an 18-12 record is to win the Big 12 tourney. I stand by that statement.

But I also agree with NormanPride in that it depends on the wins. Obviously, an upset win at KU would carry a lot more weight than a sweep of Tech when we play them in Lubbock. Likewise, a win over Mizzou, even in Norman, would look good on our resume.

Still, it's not likely that a sixth place Big 12 team will get an NCAA bid this year. I believe the conference is pretty much a lock for five teams. So, if we're in a tie for fifth, it might come down to the quality wins and the overall record of each team to see who gets the bid and which teams stay home.

 

[WaymanFan]

if we go 8-10 in the big 12 and win at least 1 big 12 tourney game we would be right on the bubble of the NCAA's

While I'm usually an optimist, I don't see how 8-10 gets us anywhere near the NCAA bubble. I see KSU on the bubble, so if those are our marquee victories, the NCAA won't even consider us. We need to go 10-8 plus one or two conference tournament wins to get on the bubble, but those expectations are unreasonable.

I think we have a great shot at 8 conference wins. If we can win the four of the five remaining home games plus win at TTech, that is 8 wins.

 

[perryj74]

10 wins in the Big 12 has historically been good enough to get into the NCAA, in fact I think Colorado may be the only team with 9 or more wins in Big 12 play to not get into the NCAA. I realize there are two more conference games but 10 wins still puts a team above .500 in what is going to be a strong RPI conference.

 

[sooner333]

10 wins in the Big 12 has historically been good enough to get into the NCAA, in fact I think Colorado may be the only team with 9 or more wins in Big 12 play to not get into the NCAA. I realize there are two more conference games but 10 wins still puts a team above .500 in what is going to be a strong RPI conference.

I think 10 wins plus our non-conf. resume (i.e., not great) would be at the low end up the bubble. Now, if we made a run in the Big XII, that would be a different story.

 

[SoonerInJersey]

10 wins in the Big 12 has historically been good enough to get into the NCAA, in fact I think Colorado may be the only team with 9 or more wins in Big 12 play to not get into the NCAA. I realize there are two more conference games but 10 wins still puts a team above .500 in what is going to be a strong RPI conference.

KSU was left out at 10-6 not too lmany years ago

 

[BigTime]

I don't think 4-6 gets us in the NIT without at least one win in the Big 12 tourney (probably two).

We need to finish 5-5 and get to 8 conference wins to ensure an NIT birth imo.

Beat:

ISU
@Tech
Texas
OSU
TAMU

and we are in the NIT

add @Texas or @ISU plus Mizzou at home (or the improbable @Baylor/@KU) and we are dancing (probably still need to win at least one in the Big 12 tourney).

 

[perryj74]

10 wins for OU, and I'm not saying I think it will happen, would mean either a home win over Mizzou or a road win at either Kansas, Baylor, or Texas as well as road wins at Iowa State and Tech. I think that combination would definitely soften the blow of the road losses to Cincy and aggies squared as well as improve our last 10 record which is another deciding factor for the NCAA committee.

 

[BigTime]

BTW, we are currently sitting at 65 in the RPI (right behind Texas) with a chance to move up from here on out. Should be a strong candidate for the NIT if the team takes care of business with the wins listed above...