I understand your thoughts on S. Carolina but the gamecocks were ranked #11 in last week's RPI with an adjusted RPI of .66290. But I thought #8 Tennessee (.66905) took the bigger hickey based on last week's RPI. The Vols were ahead of both #10 Georgia (.66609) and #11 S. Carolina (.66290) in last weeks RPI.
S. Carolina beat #20 MSU and #19 Arkansas and lost to #4 Florida, Georgia lost to #19 Arkansas and Tennessee beat #9 LSU and lost to #4 Florida.
But the Vols fell from #8 in the RPI to the #10 seed, Georgia moved up from #10 in the RPI to the 7 seed and S. Carolina moved up from #11 to the #9 seed.
No one in the RPI moved up 3 spots like Georgia and they lost their only game in the SEC. Strange. I had S. Carolina #8, Tennessee #9 and Georgia #10 in my seedings which obviously means nothing.
LOL. So it took you four paragraphs to finally agree with me?
So, I'll give you a big thumbs up in return (and I'll do it in just my second paragraph). Georgia as the No. 7 seed is, indeed, strange. That's a huge example of the committee pulling its own pants down and showing its a$$.
I would suggest a strong SEC bias, especially for a year in which the SEC really did nothing to distinguish itself. I don't know who got hurt. I will be interested in seeing who emerges from some of these regionals. But, it even seems that the SEC got some favorable bounces in opponents.
I just don;t get a team that loses its top pitcher, its only real hope for a title, and rises to a 7. Unless the young Arkansas pitchers are a lot better than they appeared against us, they would seem to be somewhat suspect. The nice thing about their seed is that it helped give us a safe path to the CWS. If Arkansas prevails, we can simply use the regionals and super-regionals to work out kinks. An all-star team of our opposition couldn't beat us twice without some strange intervention.
Thanks for the thumbs up but I still don't necessarily think S. Carolina got screwed. S. Carolina was seeded 9th I had them at 8th in my seedings. But Tennessee did and both S. Carolina and Tennessee should be upset with Georgia's seeding unfortunately they cannot yell SEC bias like folks around here like to do.
Not sure how that argument holds water, Spock. By jumping Georgia from a 10 to a 7, the committee, in effect, cost South Carolina an opportunity to host both a regional and a super regional. That's not just a screwing, but in my book a royal screwing.
I still have a basic problem believing that the rpi formula is working. In order to try to figure it out, I've been listing Florida, Georgia, and OU schedules as far as rankings of non-conference opponents. It ought to work if your conference plays tough schedule and wins that your conference should have a high rpi. Thus far what I've found:
OU plays the highest ranked non-conference schedule:
Average non-conference opponent strength:
77.667 Oklahoma
89.065 Florida
106.167 Georgia
Whoa! Since OU plays the toughest non-conference schedule, OU should have the worst record. Right. Well, OU is 29-3 against non-conference teams with two losses at neutral sites and one on the road. OU has not lost a non-conference (or conference game) at home. Florida was 27-4 against non-conference opposition with losses at Gainesville, Orlando, Tallahassee, and Lafayette, LA. Florida had 19 home games and another five that they hosted in Tampa. OU had 11 non-conference games in Norman (as opposed to 19 for Florida). Georgia was 22-1 in Athens in non-conference play, 4-1 at neutral sites, and 1-0 on the road (Georgia Tech). One road game, five at a neutral site, and 23 at home? Really? They were 27-2 in non-conference play, almost all at home against weak opposition. The neutral site game they lost was to Oregon.
Thus far, I am not seeing how the rpi got its high ranking as a conference.
I still have a basic problem believing that the rpi formula is working. In order to try to figure it out, I've been listing Florida, Georgia, and OU schedules as far as rankings of non-conference opponents. It ought to work if your conference plays tough schedule and wins that your conference should have a high rpi. Thus far what I've found:
OU plays the highest ranked non-conference schedule:
Average non-conference opponent strength:
77.667 Oklahoma
89.065 Florida
106.167 Georgia
Whoa! Since OU plays the toughest non-conference schedule, OU should have the worst record. Right. Well, OU is 29-3 against non-conference teams with two losses at neutral sites and one on the road. OU has not lost a non-conference (or conference game) at home. Florida was 27-4 against non-conference opposition with losses at Gainesville, Orlando, Tallahassee, and Lafayette, LA. Florida had 19 home games and another five that they hosted in Tampa. OU had 11 non-conference games in Norman (as opposed to 19 for Florida). Georgia was 22-1 in Athens in non-conference play, 4-1 at neutral sites, and 1-0 on the road (Georgia Tech). One road game, five at a neutral site, and 23 at home? Really? They were 27-2 in non-conference play, almost all at home against weak opposition. The neutral site game they lost was to Oregon.
Thus far, I am not seeing how the rpi got its high ranking as a conference.
We can refute the RPI/seeding system all we want but if you look at every team that has qualified for the WCWS over the last 10 years we see that 72.5% were seeded in the top 8, 82.5% in the top 10, 96.2% in the top 16 and only 3.8% (3 teams) were not seeded. As a prognostication tool the RPI seeding system has been highly accurate.
Could it be improved I think so. I think the need to tweak the system to allow a team's WP count for more of the rpi than 25%. Increasing WP to 40% would give each team more control of their ranking and reduce the impact of scheduling/conference membership where they have minimal control.
However the history shows the RPI/seeding system has effectively performed is task. I just think it could be slightly more effective.
P.S. the non-conference schedule does not determine SOS games against top 25, top 50, top 100 and top 150 determines SOS for all games against Division I opponents.
The Nitty Gritty link will show which teams are playing the toughest schedule and it is not OU among the top 20 teams OU has played the fewest top 25 teams and the second fewest top 50 teams. Only Hofstra has played fewer.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2008_NCAA_Division_I_Softball_Tournament
https://extra.ncaa.org/solutions/rpi/Stats Library/SB Nitty Gritty Through 5-13-2018.pdf
OU ranked in the RPI as high as it possibly could have given the schedule. The real difference does not lie in the Non-Conference but rather in the Conference (Big 12) which only has 7 teams while the Pac 12 and SEC are playing ranked teams in every conference game. As I always say, OU needs to get in the Top 8 and things will take care of themselves.
The one team that got over ranked is Alabama - there is NO way they deserved a #12 seed. That one was shameful for the second year in a row.
My point is that I don't believe that--at all.
The primary thing that has been demonstrated is that the home team (not the seeds) has an advantage. Is it difficult to beat a higher seed, or to beat the home team? Seeded teams have a huge advantage.
I don't agree as much with the idea of weighting the victory as I do in weighting the location. When you look at the conference play, you see that they tend to win at home and lose on the road. Yet, this does not receive adequate recognition.
I want to see that applied to non-conference games. It is an outrage that the committee does not put forward an rpi formula that recognizes the advantage of playing at home. Almost every team has a better record at home.
Yet, the conferences that play almost all of their non-conference games at home are not penalized for it. Until there is a formula that penalizes teams for remaining at home, I will not recognize any superiority of the SEC or Pac 12 at all. Also, I will continue to maintain that the formula must be revised until they see a need to play on the road.
23 home non-conference games and only one on the road? Really? And, you wonder why their non-conference record is so good when it was only 5-1 on a neutral site, 1-0 on the road, and 22-1 at home? You show me thirteen teams with that type of imbalance and want me to accept that they were better as a conference?
That's like the guy who thinks that the guy from the ghetto has equal opportunity with the billionaire's son.
My point is that I don't believe that--at all.
The primary thing that has been demonstrated is that the home team (not the seeds) has an advantage. Is it difficult to beat a higher seed, or to beat the home team? Seeded teams have a huge advantage.
I don't agree as much with the idea of weighting the victory as I do in weighting the location. When you look at the conference play, you see that they tend to win at home and lose on the road. Yet, this does not receive adequate recognition.
I want to see that applied to non-conference games. It is an outrage that the committee does not put forward an rpi formula that recognizes the advantage of playing at home. Almost every team has a better record at home.
Yet, the conferences that play almost all of their non-conference games at home are not penalized for it. Until there is a formula that penalizes teams for remaining at home, I will not recognize any superiority of the SEC or Pac 12 at all. Also, I will continue to maintain that the formula must be revised until they see a need to play on the road.
23 home non-conference games and only one on the road? Really? And, you wonder why their non-conference record is so good when it was only 5-1 on a neutral site, 1-0 on the road, and 22-1 at home? You show me thirteen teams with that type of imbalance and want me to accept that they were better as a conference?
That's like the guy who thinks that the guy from the ghetto has equal opportunity with the billionaire's son.
P.S. No one really cares if you recognize Pac 12/SEC superiority. It is a free country you have the right to choose to be wrong and yes the Pac 12/SEC already play more road games than the Sooners. They also play more games against the top 25 and the top 50. Unfortunately for us the RPI/Seeding system makes adjustments for OU's scheduling anomaly which works to our demise. The RPI is not ideal but it is more than fair. Life is not always fair and OU's circumstances are not fair for the Sooners but they are what they are. The blame is not a Pac 12/SEC bias it is a conference SOS bias that Sooners experience in football, wrestling and softball and women's gymnastics. Fortunately we can to some extent schedule through it in the other sports. For Patty it is not so easy and Lincoln on occasion will get a Big 12 hickey come CFP time.
https://extra.ncaa.org/solutions/rpi/Stats Library/SB Nitty Gritty Through 5-13-2018.pdf