I agree. OU has 5 games that I think they have legitimate shot of winning (KSU, OSU, Tech, Nebraksa and OSU). An upest against KU, Texas, A&M and/or Missouri is possible but not likely (particularly Texas and KU).
If OU wins three of the 5 they have 7 wins and that would be the best coaching job Capel has done at OU (at least in my opinion because he had a great team when he went to the Great 8 compared to a below average team this season).
If OU does not win another game, I think Capel did a good job this year and should get another year if not two.