of course. you are exactly right. that is my opinion. but, i did do my homework.
Hope that didn't come off as "ripping" you, just reminding that Blair has a year in the program and has been a starter on a B12 team. Ultimately message boards like this are built around speculation, and at least you did some homework, but I think that we all fall into the same trap with guys we haven't seen vs. guys that we have. That trap being that we "know" what Blair is or isn't good at becuase we've seen it, and just assume that the "new" guy will be automatically better.
Here are my speculative guesses is order of how "sure" I am of them:
1. The only two guys that I am absolutely sure will be starters are Osby and Cam. Osby is a "guess" but CLK has singled him out, just like every other person that has seen him practice since he joined the program.
2. Grooms and Blair will be a tougher battle than people think, but whomever wins the job, both players will be better for having to compete for minutes early.
3. Newell and Pledger should be another entertaining fight for minutes. The best part about getting Grooms is that Newell can work full-time at being a SG.
4. Tyler Neal will prove out to be a really solid back-up to Cam and, depending on match-ups, Osby. That being said, if there is a guy on our roster who I think could benefit from a r/s year, it would be him. I thought he did some nice things last season, but would like to see him as a fifth year 22 year old-senior.
5. Fitzgerald will likely start at the Center position, but if CLK sees that he can get plenty of points from Osby, Cam and the SG position [either Newell of Pledger] and there is a better rebounder/defender on the roster, I could see that changing and Fitz being a guy that makes his contribution from the bench.