What makes you conclude Nate was a better rebounder? Reaves led the team in rebounding as a point guard this season. Also, it isn’t accurate to say he is projected as mid to late second “at best.” He is in the top half of multiple mocks, as high as the first pick of round two. His athleticism is also better than some suggest. As to the discipline and shot selection, that, as you suggest, is a product of the system. Reaves played very much within the defined role that he had at WSU. So I don’t think any NBA team would assume he is undisciplined.
Look, I am a BIG AR fan, though he drove me crazy with his hero ball he played too many times. I hope he does very well not only because I am rooting for him but because of what it means to the program. But what makes me think Nate was a better rebounder, or the draft projections have him mid to late second round? One, my eyes, and two, the stats and scouts.
Yes, Austin led the team in rebounding his senior year as a PG. But my eyes tell me Erdmann was better at bodying up and boxing out and going after the ball than AR. A lot of Austin's boards, by the nature of today's game, were long missed jumpers. The hard stats would tell you they were about the same. Austin averaged 5.5 RPG out of 35.7 TRB. Erdmann averaged 5.6 RPG his senior year out of 35.1 TRB. A slight edge to Erdmann but basically even. But Erdmann was second on the team to Eduardo, and also had Bobby Jo Evans, Lou Moore, Evan Wiley, Corey Brewer, and Renzi Stone on that team. To pull down 5.6 out of that group, besides the eye test, to me is more impressive than AR outrebounding Brady, Mo Gibson, Harkless, Harmon, Kur, and Jalen Hill. With that said, Austin is a good rebounding guard, better than most, but I think Erdmann was better.
As far as draft projections, Hoops Prospects has him going #56, SI.com has him going #45, USAToday has him going #48, NBADraft.net, has him going undrafted, NBAScouting has him going late 2nd round to undrafted, CBS Sports has him going #56. Tankathon has him at #59. The best I have seen is #41 by ESPN/Draft Express. I have not seen any national draft projection with him at #31 or #32, nor have I seen multiple mocks with him 30-45. Maybe I have overlooked them. Also, if you look at the scouting on him, there is a consensus theme against him- not overly athletic, questionable quickness to guard opponents, not a great first step, streaky shooter, and his age. However, as I said in my earlier post, I think AR is a baller with great will and can make it IF the right team gives him a chance.
I am rooting for Austin, but one can also root for him and speak to his deficiencies which we all have seen for the last two years, which may impact whether or not he makes the league.