I tend to agree with those who are not inclined to think an OU win would be an upset. I see it as about dead even.
Baylor took a big halftime lead over Kentucky. Then, Kentucky went on one of their press/foulfest games, and won the second half 50-30, winning 74-64. We would have beaten Kentucky had it not been for a bizarre technical call, and they pulled the same crap on us. We just survived it better. Texas almost pulled out a win using their version of pressure. They outrebounded Baylor. They lost by two, whereas their nonsense led to fouling out four OU players as they won in OT. The results of those are pretty close. We lost a game in WV. That's about the only thing favoring Baylor.
The conference stats don't reveal a lot. We are slightly better shooters. They are slightly better defenders (as far as points) and rebounders. We both are positive for turnover margin and rebounding margin.
I have never been impressed by Agbuke. It really comes down to whether we cover well on jump shots, and prevent offensive rebounds. We have to keep Davis from scoring 25 on putbacks.
If Gioya were to recover her accuracy the way it was in the first six games of the conference play, I would strongly favor us. If not, I see this as a struggle between two teams for points.
