Bubble Watch

TSSR said:
It's not that crazy. 303rd SOS is insane when there's 352 teams. Lol.
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The question has been raised in other forums/media: could Miami have played a better schedule? Their AD didn't force them to play a one-and-done buy game at a P5 school to get a check. No coach of a decent program is going to give them a home-and-home knowing what they had coming in this year.

But, they could have played in a neutral site MTE. If they play some place like Fort Myers or Myrtle Beach and play three decent teams, perhaps they lose two or three of them. 28-4 looks a lot different than 31-1, especially coming out of the MAC.

It's really hard to turn away a team that won 31 games, so I don't expect the committee to do that. But, Miami is probably a bottom quarter team in the SEC.
 
cbertus6 said:
My take on the Miami (OH) thing, which admittedly is worth nothing. They went 31-0 in the regular season. No matter how easy/difficult the schedule is, if that was easy then it would happen way more often than it does. There are 68 teams in the tournament. If you can't make room for a team that didn't lose a single game during the course of their season, what are we doing? Does 17-15 Auburn need to be in over them? To leave them out means to include a team that lost almost as many games as it won. Right or wrong, that doesn't seem right to me. I say that as an analytics guy who would usually be on the other side of this argument.
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Meh.
 
TSSR said:
It's not that crazy. 303rd SOS is insane when there's 352 teams. Lol.
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I didn’t say it was crazy. I said I can’t imagine it happening. I predict human perception and politics will outweigh analytics.
 
Miami should 100% be in. I don't care about SOS in a case like that.

More mid-majors, less sub-.500 conference record, double digit finish in their conference power teams.
 
Miami (OH) will come down to this...

If they want to expand the tournament field, they will not let Miami (OH) in.
If they are happy with 68 for another year, then Miami (OH) gets in even though by all metrics they don't deserve it.

Depends on what the committee wants next year, IMHO.
 
TEvans4Three said:
Miami (OH) will come down to this...

If they want to expand the tournament field, they will not let Miami (OH) in.
If they are happy with 68 for another year, then Miami (OH) gets in even though by all metrics they don't deserve it.

Depends on what the committee wants next year, IMHO.
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Yep - there will be so much outrage that they will use it to expand it if they want
 


For those still unwilling to accept that noncon SOS is importantly, or that it would have helped to play teams in the 150ish range.

One area we really fall short is that we are 11-14 against Q1-3 teams (7-0 against Q4). Make that, say, 15-14 and 3-0, and your resume is much better WITH THE SAME OVERALL RECORD.
 
I live in Boulder and during the Ricardo Patton era Buffs, they had a couple decent teams that got left out of the NCAA for poor OOC in the old RPI criteria.

I used to tell my CU buddies.....OOC is the issue.

As a Sooner fan, what I was 100% sure of was that Kelvin's teams and whoever made our schedule were demons are working the RPI and SOS for tournament viability.

we're not there now.
 
sanguinetti said:
I live in Boulder and during the Ricardo Patton era Buffs, they had a couple decent teams that got left out of the NCAA for poor OOC in the old RPI criteria.

I used to tell my CU buddies.....OOC is the issue.

As a Sooner fan, what I was 100% sure of was that Kelvin's teams and whoever made our schedule were demons are working the RPI and SOS for tournament viability.

we're not there now.
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Lon's scheduler was prolly even better.. moser's is straight awful
 
And just like that.....Tennessee is back from the dead and is on a 15-0 to lead Auburn by 5.
 
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