Bubble Watch

I live in Boulder and during the Ricardo Patton era Buffs, they had a couple decent teams that got left out of the NCAA for poor OOC in the old RPI criteria.

I used to tell my CU buddies.....OOC is the issue.

As a Sooner fan, what I was 100% sure of was that Kelvin's teams and whoever made our schedule were demons are working the RPI and SOS for tournament viability.

we're not there now.
Yeah, it seems like a low hanging fruit to swap out the 250+ for 150-250 range teams. Maybe the AD is not willing to pay up? I assume it’s more likely a lack of consciousness by Moser & staff though.

LK & his staff were masterminds at gaming the system. Wish PM or the next guy take that to heart, even if I can understand erring conservatively to boost the WL record.
 
I don’t understand the pushback about tournament expansion?

64/68 is already too many. But the regular season has already been rendered pretty meaningless IMO. I grew up in early 2000s, still fun to catch Big Monday or the Saturday conference slate then but can only imagine what games were like in 80s/90s.
 
I can understand pushback against Miami getting in, definitely a fan of predictive metrics and rewarding SOS but if the comp is a 17-16 Auburn (a case partially built on nepotistic PR), have a hard time shedding any tears.
 


For those still unwilling to accept that noncon SOS is importantly, or that it would have helped to play teams in the 150ish range.

One area we really fall short is that we are 11-14 against Q1-3 teams (7-0 against Q4). Make that, say, 15-14 and 3-0, and your resume is much better WITH THE SAME OVERALL RECORD.

The methodology is not a mystery except, apparently, to Moser and a few fans. And for the “just win more games” people it might help if we played a little bit better competition prior to conference. We might not lose 9 in a row, including all of the ones where a little more poise would have achieved a W.
 
The methodology is not a mystery except, apparently, to Moser and a few fans. And for the “just win more games” people it might help if we played a little bit better competition prior to conference. We might not lose 9 in a row, including all of the ones where a little more poise would have achieved a W.

We blew many of those games. I dont think OCC schedule hurt us blowing a 17pt lead vs Nebraska or a 9 game conf tumble.

Winning is hard. sad it may cost us.
 
We blew many of those games. I dont think OCC schedule hurt us blowing a 17pt lead vs Nebraska or a 9 game conf tumble.

Winning is hard. sad it may cost us.
Yes, winning against better teams is harder. Playing too many cupcakes does not prepare you for that. Blowing games is much easier when you haven’t been there as much. And, yes, there is always a cost.
 
As I noted above, the WAB increase from playing a 150 team is pretty marginal. The Q-3 thing is something I didn’t address but it would require that the team you schedule actually get above 160 in NET for a buy game. That’s probably pretty hard to predict if you’re actually shooting to play a team of that level.
 
FSU led Duke most of that game but with about 9 minutes left they've looked like they ran out of gas. Duke up 3.
 
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