I'm willing to bet that they both end up being very good players.
The problem is not that recruiting services are wrong (most of the time)... the problem is that people have inflated expectations about what to expect from true freshmen... even highly recruited true freshmen.
People like Blake Griffin and TMG are - by far - the exception to the rule.
Most freshmen, no matter how highly touted, have a very steep learning curve coming into college.
Precisely, there are only a handful of players hitting Division I on a yearly basis who are fully ready to compete mentally and physicall, night-in and night-out. Look at Kansas State, Wally Judge is going to be a great player for them down the road, he just isn't there right now compared to other guys on his roster.
If there were players on this team as upperclassmen who could carry us the majority of the year, people would just say a freshman is "coming along" or "developing" if he struggled during games. But because our freshman are literally learning on the fly in a trial by fire, they aren't going to develop, Capel needs to revaluate his system, their rankings were overrated, etc.
You want to jump on Capel for not having the upperclassmen in place? That's fair game, but to expect four freshmen to come into a #1 Big XII ranked conference and compete for a tourney bid is ridiculous. Could it happen if all the pieces were correct, sure. But none of our freshmen (not even TMG) are bona fide super-stars right now (see John Wall). One aspect of learning to play at this level is undestanding how HARD you have to work...everyday in practice and every game. The concept sounds simple, but there is a legitimate learning curve. Take some law or grad schools for example...at that level, everyone is smart and intelligent, they had to be to get in to the school. Some feel that they can just rely on their basic or genetic intelligence to get through with school, but once you get on campus you realize that isn't enough. You have to literally out-work your counterparts everyday to get ahead. That is what our freshmen are going through now, learning that everyone at this level was All-something (american, state, etc) and very talented.
The fact that people are giving up on four freshman is beyond me and pretty much shows a lack of knowledge for basketball concerned with talent transferring to the Division I level.
