B12 Battle for Seeding / Remaining Schedule

[SoonerTraveler]

Huge game on Senior Night at home this Tuesday. A home win would give OU a season sweep of both Baylor and West Virginia. Baylor is a strange team, as they have a better Big-12 road record (6-2) than they do a Big-12 home record (4-4). Baylor beat Texas in Austin by 14 points about a week ago.

B12 Battle for Seeding / Remaining Schedules

West Virginia (11-5)
Texas Tech
@ Baylor

Oklahoma (10-6)
Baylor
@ TCU

Baylor (10-6)
@ Oklahoma
West Virginia

Texas (10-6)
Kansas
@ OSU

Iowa State (9-7)
OSU
@ Kansas

Texas Tech (8-8)
@ West Virginia
Kansas State

 

[usedtobe1]

Even if we win out, then we could be seeded as low as 4th for the B12 tournament:
- We finish ahead of Baylor
- If WVU wins both of their last 2 games, then they are the #2 seed because they have the 2nd best record.
- If Texas beats KU tonight and likely beats OSU, then they finish higher than OU because they beat the higher seeded KU
- If WVU beats Tech at home and loses to Baylor on the road, then OU is seeded higher because we swept them. Texas swept them, too.

I think we need for KU to beat Texas tonight.

Is my logic right? I'm guessing that the tiebreakers go first on head-to-head games, and then who has a win against the highest seed (KU).

 

[SoonerTraveler]

Yes, I think your tie-breaker analysis is correct. KU would help us by beating Texas on Monday night.

WVU controls their own destiny, as they are currently alone in 2nd place.

In any event, OU really needs to beat Baylor.

 

[stormspencer]

Yes, I think your tie-breaker analysis is correct. KU would help us by beating Texas on Monday night.

WVU controls their own destiny, as they are currently alone in 2nd place.

In any event, OU really needs to beat Baylor.

OU wins 2 this week, KU beats texas, and Baylor beats WV on Saturday. That's our best scenario and would put OU as the 2 seed in KC. And even more important, it's likely that Iowa State will be the #6 seed....and with their crowd they bring to the tournament, I would rather avoid playing them in the quarterfinals (as the 3 seed).

 

[SoonerTraveler]

OU wins 2 this week, KU beats texas, and Baylor beats WV on Saturday. That's our best scenario and would put OU as the 2 seed in KC. And even more important, it's likely that Iowa State will be the #6 seed....and with their crowd they bring to the tournament, I would rather avoid playing them in the quarterfinals (as the 3 seed).

Agreed!

Looks like Kansas is a 2-point favorite tonight . . . . .

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-basketball/odds/las-vegas/

 

[Sooner95]

Good call, We win out, WV loses on the rd to Baylor. #2 seed for us. BOOMER!!

 

[BoulderSooner]

so now with a win vs TCU sat we are either #3 seed or 2nd seed based on Head to Head with WVU (if they lose to either tech at home or @ Baylor)

 

[Crimson King]

Hopefully Baylor can beat WVU in Waco Saturday. The last thing this team needs is a Thursday night KC battle vs. ISU and their fans after a full day at Kelly's Westport.

 

[Soonerinkc]

depends on which bu team shows up...kind of like most of the big12. The second half team vs us, yes they should beat wv...the good is they can come back from 24 down to take a lead.

 

[stormspencer]

If we beat TCU as expected on Saturday, we will either be the 2 or 3 seed in Kansas City.

I think that I've run all of the scenarios....and even with a loss to TCU, we would either be a 3 or a 4 seed in KC. As a matter of fact, the only scenario where we would end up with a #4 seed is if we lost to TCU along with ISU beating Kansas. I have yet to come up with a scenario where we would end up a 5 seed. I think it's safe to say that we will be at least the #3 seed.

It's ironic that the only positive thing that comes out of being swept by KU is that we own the tie-breaker over every other top half team in virtually every scenario except one.:OU-logo:

 

[soonerborn77]

If we beat TCU as expected on Saturday, we will either be the 2 or 3 seed in Kansas City.

I think that I've run all of the scenarios....and even with a loss to TCU, we would either be a 3 or a 4 seed in KC. As a matter of fact, the only scenario where we would end up with a #4 seed is if we lost to TCU along with ISU beating Kansas. I have yet to come up with a scenario where we would end up a 5 seed. I think it's safe to say that we will be at least the #3 seed.

It's ironic that the only positive thing that comes out of being swept by KU is that we own the tie-breaker over every other top half team in virtually every scenario except one.:OU-logo:

I found this generator

http://bball.notnothing.net/big12.php?sport=mbb

From what I saw the only games that change seeding is WVU/Baylor and Iowa State/Kansas

Iowa State can jump to 5 with a win and Baylor loss, with a loss they sit at 6 and stay on our side.

A Baylor win keeps them at 4/5 where they play Texas who basically stays at 4/5. If Baylor loses and Iowa State wins, Baylor drops to 6.

We are 2 with a Baylor win, 3 with a Baylor loss.

 

[SoonerTraveler]

B12 Battle for Seeding / Remaining Schedules / Last Game of Season

Kansas (14-3)
Iowa State

West Virginia (12-5)
@ Baylor

Oklahoma (11-6)
@ TCU

Baylor (10-7)
West Virginia

Iowa State (10-7)
@ Kansas

Texas (10-7)
@ OSU

Texas Tech (8-9)
Kansas State

 

[stormspencer]

Here's an up-to-date look at the Big 12 tournament seedings, based upon probabilities going into tomorrow's games:
#1
Kansas - 100.00%

#2
West Virginia - 54.42%
Oklahoma - 45.58%

#3
Oklahoma - 53.24%
West Virginia - 45.58%
Iowa State - 1.18%

#4
Texas - 50.00%
Baylor - 41.54%
Iowa State - 7.28%
Oklahoma - 1.18%

#5
Baylor - 50.00%
Texas - 28.80%
Iowa State - 21.20%

#6
Iowa State - 70.34%
Texas - 21.20%
Baylor - 8.46%

#7
Texas Tech - 100.00%

#8
Kansas State - 100.00%

#9
Oklahoma State - 100.00%

#10
Texas Christian - 100.00%

 

[jackson_supersooner]

If we don't finish atleast second in conference I just don't see how you look at this year as a success unless we make a run to ATLEAST the elite 8 and finish somewhere around 28-8 or 29-7.

 

[oudna]

Texas playing tonight. Extra day rest for the tourney, I guess.