There is no magic formula for hiring a coach. KU and KSU are probably pretty happy with their small-school hires even though neither of them came with the hype train that Venables did. Bob Stoops was a first-time head coach. Riley was a first-time head coach. Anyone who thinks it is easy for an AD to identify a sure thing is kidding themselves. Venables and Moser both seemed like good hires, or at least potentially good hires. It clearly hasn’t worked out for either.