Bracketology 2018

[Matthew G]

So, you can use Bracketmatix.com to see multiple different brackets and to see where our average is. I personally like using the site to see where the top 5 brackets (go to their rankings, you'll find the top 5 brackets over a 5 year average).


Based on that, Bracketmatrix average has OU as an 8 seed (not sure how updated it is)

Top 5 bracket rankings

1. BV updated 3/4/18: 9 seed

2. Athletic updated 3/2/18: 7 seed

3. Syracusefan7 updated 3/4/18: 9 seed

4. HoopsHD updated 3/4/18: 8 seed

5. JabeBlog Updated 3/3/18: 10 seed


So based on these alone, it seems like OU is around the 9 seed line, fairly solidly in.

 

[DenverSooner]

I don’t get it. OU has played so bad the last several weeks.

 

[MercedeSooner]

Unless we win a couple games this week feels likely we end up on that 10 line - probably preferable to being in that 8/9 game.

 

[MercedeSooner]

I don’t get it. OU has played so bad the last several weeks.

Well it’s a good thing we played basketball for 3 months before that. I know football was going on till January though.

 

[Matthew G]

I don’t get it. OU has played so bad the last several weeks.

Playing bad in Feb doesn't erase Nov,Dec,and Jan.


Just like playing great the last 10 minutes of a basketball game doesn't erase everything that happened in the 1st 30 minutes.

 

[DenverSooner]

I don’t know that I would say OU played well in January. OU was 5-3 and won it’s first two games. It has been more than just February.

 

[BoulderSooner]

Not really hard to understand OU has the most Q1 wins and has 0 Q3 or Q4 losses

 

[Matthew G]

Update on the top 5

Bracketville: 9 seed

Athletic: 7 seed

Syracusefan7: 8 seed

HoopsHD: 8 seed

Jabe's Blog: 9 seed



Bracketville average: 1st 9 seed.

 

[oudna]

Update on the top 5

Bracketville: 9 seed

Athletic: 7 seed

Syracusefan7: 8 seed

HoopsHD: 8 seed

Jabe's Blog: 9 seed



Bracketville average: 1st 9 seed.

ESPN has us 10.

Bubble watch.

 

[WaymanFan]

ESPN has us 10.

Bubble watch.

I thought we were in after beating ISU, but no longer quite as certain. They will not select more than 7 teams from the conference, and may only take 6. We have a better OOC resume than just about any Big XII school, but I would feel a whole lot better if we won on Wednesday. If we get blown out, though, I doubt there will be many of us who will lose sleep if we're not selected on Sunday.

Going into the conference tournament, we were on the bubble in 1993, 1996, 1997, 1998 and 1999 (basically, the '90s). We played are way in for 1997 and 1998, and got incredibly lucky to be selected in 1996 and 1999. I thought we were in back in 1993 after winning at the Phog (despite a 6-8 conference record) as 6 of the 8 teams were going to be selected. However, when last-place Missouri won the conference tournament, it had to knock out someone, and that someone was us...but it wouldn't have been if we didn't go one-and-done in the conference tourney. That may be good advice for this year's team.

 

[Matthew G]

ESPN has us 10.

Bubble watch.

Good thing Lunardi ranks 40th out of 113 bracketologists then

 

[SoonerBounce13]

They will not select more than 7 teams from the conference, and may only take 6.

i think we get 8 in. No way does the conference only get 6

 

[WTSooner]

i think we get 8 in. No way does the conference only get 6

Agreed.

 

[stormspencer]

ESPN has us 10.

Bubble watch.

That bubble watch, I believe, is 3 days old. After beating Iowa State, I haven't found any bubble watch (CBS, CNNSI, Sporting News, etc.) that includes OU. If there is one out there that is including OU, then I would be intrigued to read it.

 

[BoulderSooner]

ESPN has us 10.

Bubble watch.

espn has us as should be in Joe has us as a lock

 

[mict085]

OU should be in, but when teams play the way OU has and other teams get hot at this time, it leaves the door open for OU to be left out. If OU loses to osu, and they (osu) go deep in the big12 tourney, along with some other teams playing their way in, OU could very easily be left out. If OU loses to osu, they can’t complain and would deserve to be left out.

 

[MichaelM]

OU is currently an 8 or 9 in virtually every bracket. There is a 0% chance that one loss knocks them out.

If OSU wins enough to get in, that doesn't hurt OU except in seeding. It just means the Big 12 has a really good shot at getting 9 teams.

 

[WTSooner]

OU is currently an 8 or 9 in virtually every bracket. There is a 0% chance that one loss knocks them out.

If OSU wins enough to get in, that doesn't hurt OU except in seeding. It just means the Big 12 has a really good shot at getting 9 teams.

We'll see. While I think we are likely in, with a loss, I'd just about guarantee we're one of the last 4-6 in. That is cutting it pretty close, and it isn't out of the realm of possibilities that enough upsets in conference tournies could knock us out, or to the 2 play-in games. I don't care what anybody says, we aren't an 8 seed today, and we're probably not a 9. If we are a 9, we're the last 9.

Look at all of the other sites like Ken Pom, etc. They have OU about as squarely on the bubble as you can be. Having TY, and our early season success will help us break any ties, but we certainly haven't done ourselves any favors late in the season.

 

[SoonerBounce13]

I have a question for the people that don't seem to be worried at all:

You do realize that the last 4 in aren't automatically 16 seeds right?
11,12 seeds seem to be where they put the last 4 in.

So if we are a 9/10 right now, and lose tomorrow, you aren't worried we could drop to a seed or two and be in the last group of teams?

 

[MichaelM]

Let me put it this way.

On BracketMatrix.com, OU is currently the best 9 seed. All polled brackets have updated either yesterday or today.

There are four 9 seeds, four 10 seeds, and six 11 seeds (assuming the last four at-large bids are 11's, which looks likely).

To knock OU out, one would have to believe that after showing a better resume for thirty games, the thirty-first game is enough to move fourteen teams past OU. I don't believe it for a second. You're talking about teams like Providence, who has lost three times to teams with losing records, twice at home; or St. Mary's, who has only two good wins and is coming off a loss to a team that's not much better than OSU; or Syracuse, who has also lost a couple of games to teams with losing records. And you're not getting to pick one of these; you have to put ALL of them in. Plus 11 others who aren't any better.

As bad as OU may look from close up, there just aren't that many teams that you can justify having in the tournament instead.




I also believe this will be irrelevant after OU wins tomorrow. :OU-logo: