lmao
Without COVID, he wins going away. Period.
First, that isn't true.
Second, that's the thing about being President.... you don't often get to govern without some kind of crisis, and you either handle it well or you don't. Bush had Gulf War, Bush II had 9/11 (and served two terms), Obama had the 2008 recession (and served two terms), FDR had the great recession and WWII, etc.
FDR was in the middle of the great recession (it was actually in its 8th year) and won the electoral college 523-8. And that was the worst economic crisis in our history. He carried 46 states. Do you know why? Because he was an amazing leader and an amazing President.
Look, lets lay out facts.
- The wall has been a total failure. Can anyone really say it hasn't been?
- Mexico didn't pay for the wall.... Can anyone really say they did?
- Nobody likes the tax bill except super wealthy people
- 39% of the country approves of his handling of Covid-19
- He is inciting a race/culture war
- 35% of the country is happy with the tax bill, again, his key legislation
- He's been impeached
- He promised to eliminate the federal debt, he made it worse, WAY WORSE
- He promised to balance the federal budget, nowhere close to that
- He promised to bring a new/better Iran deal... hasn't done it
- He promised to get out of war and bring the troops home. Hasn't done it
- He misled and lied on Covid-19, and then said he takes no responsibility
He's definitely not wrong all the time... But outside of his bluster, this has been a very non-productive presidency.
You say he has accomplished a lot. What has he accomplished that is popular with Americans? Getting a better NAFTA deal is a good thing. Yelling at NATO countries to pay more is a good thing. Doesn't mean they will, but he yelled at them. He cancelled the Paris Deal. He replaced two Supreme Court justices, but that was because one retired and Mitch McConnell stole the other. Not like Trump had to do much to replace a judge.
The rest is small ball. It's been very unproductive from a policy perspective.
I don't think he would have won without Covid... It would have been closer maybe, but he would have lost. At this point he only has a hard-core base. He only has the "if I shot someone on 5th avenue" crowd. People who won't abandon him NO MATTER WHAT. People are tired of him. Oklahoma is a cult state, so it's hard to tell if you live here, but a lot of the country is tired of him. Oklahoma is to Trumpers and super conservatives what Utah is to mormons, so again, its an echo chamber here if you are a conservative. He started a trade war that he can't win. He claims he's making billions in tariffs, but he just has to turn around and give it to farmers he screwed over. Getting the tariff money isn't helping A SINGLE AMERICAN. It's nothing. He just gives it to farmers to cover their losses as a result of the trade war.
If he did things well, and was popular, he would win. But he doesn't, and he isn't, so he wont. It's that simple.