Iowa St. 9 point favorite

ocugolfsooner

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Vegas just isn't convinced that we are as good as our record. 8th game out of 9 conference games where we've been the underdog.
 
9 points is a lot especially considering we beat this team once already
 
Yes, but the last two the lines were equal to (ISU) and closer than (OSU) Sagarin's predictor line. Until those two games, I'm not sure we had a line that wasn't bigger (or a smaller favorite) than his predictor line in some time. We're still mid-30s in that, by the way.
 
Bet OU at 9...easy win. Our losses are by:

4 to La Tech
5 to MSU (top 10 team on neutral court)
6 KSU (ranked team on the road)
7 (to the best team in the country right now)

9 points. No respect.
 
Bet OU at 9...easy win. Our losses are by:

4 to La Tech
5 to MSU (top 10 team on neutral court)
6 KSU (ranked team on the road)
7 (to the best team in the country right now)

9 points. No respect.

Or we're due for a stinker. No telling. We never win at this place. The best win I can ever remember is the Capel win when Pledger went off like KD.
 
Boca, I would predict ISU to win by a few. Maybe 79-77.

But 9 points is silly. I put some stats together recently showing that something like 70% of all big 12 games this year have been decided by single digits.
 
9 points is too much, even if this guy says otherwise:

The Most Powerful Man in Sport

The most powerful man in sport toils alone in a dark room on a leafy street in Bloomington, Indiana. He’s not a player, owner or a league commissioner. He’s Jeff Sagarin, an M.I.T. grad, math geek, whose rating systems determine where your teams end up in the big dance or which bowl they play in or what seeding they might get in lacrosse, hockey, volleyball or golf. Clients, like USA Today, college and pro leagues and sometimes a few teams, pay Jeff for his calculations. He does these permutations extremely fast. To give you an idea, his rankings of golfers for Golf Week magazine takes him four minutes a week.

The most powerful man in sport does all his work before breakfast, unshaven, in a ratty T-shirt and holey underwear. This was not the dress codes taught at the MIT algorithms class where most of the students expected to be working at insurance companies. The most powerful man in sports reads a few emails (usually vitriolic tirades berating him for ranking certain teams too low) then buttons up his work day before heading off to 7:00 am breakfast.

Here’s what you don’t know. You probably think the most powerful man in sports owns some type of Kray or Univac supercomputer to do all his intricate calculations. No. He does it on a TRS-80 or something just as primitive. He does his programming in Fortran. In Fortran, folks. That’s like Wolfgang Puck cooking with an Easy-Bake-Oven.

The most powerful man in sports can tell you that Charleston Southern is ranked 327th in the country, played the 203rd toughest schedule and has a Sagarin rating of 57.86. The most powerful man in sports doesn’t play favorites. He puts in the facts and let’s the computer do all the ratings. His secret formulas have taken emotion out of the equation. The most powerful man in sports spends his day playing golf or basketball while fans all across the country are cussing him.

Most of the emails the most powerful man in sports receives can’t be printed in this paper. Since Jeff isn’t married he shares many of the emails with his computer. Of course, in most cases, his computer has seen them first. About a few of them, Jeff’s computer lets out a big whistle, especially the ones where fans suggest Jeff and his computer get a room and have unnatural relations with each other. It’s almost enough to make Jeff’s computer re-examine its software.

Jeff has been ranking teams since he was 11 years old. Only then he wasn’t being paid and nobody but him and a few friends read his rankings. Now readers of his information number in the millions. Hardly anyone who follows a favorite team hasn’t mispronounced Jeff’s name. Which shows you can be powerful and yet not be loved. And while millions of people know your name, hardly any of them know your face. Jeff has shown you can be powerful and reclusive. And when you think of it what more could a former math student want? What more could a math grad want? How about to be in control, to influence all kinds of lives and yet to be more or less invisible? Jeff Sagarin can walk down the street, pass dozens of people who cussed him over breakfast and then smile without them having any idea. That’s a math grad’s nirvana.

Even more of a math grad’s nirvana: knowing you’re controlling the fate of all these teams while wearing a ratty t-shirt and holey underpants. If there were such as thing as orgasms for math geeks, this is probably as close as it gets.
 
Or we're due for a stinker. No telling. We never win at this place. The best win I can ever remember is the Capel win when Pledger went off like KD.

I'm with you on the stinker. It's bound to happen at some point. I'd much rather it be tomorrow then at WVU
 
9 points is a lot especially considering we beat this team once already

OU didn't just beat ISU, OU pretty much led start to finish as I recall. I think ISU's only lead was on the first bucket made. ISU did close out the half strong and tie the game but OU won the second half. Perhaps I remember wrong.
 
Or we're due for a stinker. No telling. We never win at this place. The best win I can ever remember is the Capel win when Pledger went off like KD.

OU last won in Ames in 2011. Prior to that OU won in 09, 03, 99 and 95. When there were 12 teams in the conference OU only went to Ames every other year. Historically, OU wins 45% of the time in Ames.

9 seems like a big spread to me. ISU has only beaten OU by more than 9 points in Ames 5 times since 1980. I don't bet on sports but I think OU +9 is a good bet. Only one team has beaten OU by more than 9 points this year and that was MSU in NYC. I think MSU is better than ISU and I doubt OU had a lot of support in NYC. Obviously this is a true road game and NYC wasn't but I like OU +9.
 
ISU might win and might cover. I would put my money on OU to cover if I was in Vegas this week (but am not) and will be surprised if this game does not go down to the wire. As always, I could be wrong.
 
I dunno if OU will win BUT I'll guarantee they cover the spread.

Who knows.
ISU went berzonkers on us from outside and kinda blew us away in Ames last year. A similar game wouldn't surprise me tomorrow.
Of course, an OU win wouldn't surprise me either. But it seems like ISU might be due to get hot from behind the arc again.
 
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