This is a pretty good list of the S-curve. But even if we win out, you can make the argument that KU still has a slightly better "body of work" if you include the non-conference (wins over Utah, Michigan St - N, @Georgetown). It just depends on the committee and how much they would value OU's possible two wins over KU....and would those two wins over KU offset the differences in our resume (i.e. our bad losses....ugh.)
The other piece that we need to think about is the group of teams around us:
Notre Dame - if they win out (including the ACC conference tournament), they would have beaten Duke, Virginia, and Louisville possibly. They would have a case for a 2 seed if that were to occur.
Baylor and Iowa State - same scenario as above. If these two teams were to win out (including the Big 12 tournament), then they would have a case....and thus would eliminate us from a chance at a 2.
Maryland - although they have a gaudy record, there resume isn't all that strong outside of their win over Wisconsin.
Right now, it appears that KU is the last two seed. And unless Gonzaga or Wisconsin fall on their face, KU is the only team that would appear to be vulnerable on that line.