Rounding the curve

sybarite

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We haven't hit the stretch yet, but things are beginning to take shape.

Unranked Miami (Fl) 85
#23 Syracuse 71 UPSET AT HOME

Unranked Florida 51
#24 Georgia 48 UPSET AT HOME



#7 Florida State 63
#17 North Carolina 71 UPSET
 
12-0 Baylor

10-3 Oklahoma

6-7 Iowa State
6-7 Oklahoma State
6-7 TCU

5-7 Kansas State (hosts Texas Tech at 1:00
5-7 West Virginia (at Baylor at 4:00)

5-8 Texas

4-8 Texas Tech

4-9 Kansas

Iowa State hosts Baylor, Oklahoma, and Texas Tech. Road for WV and KU.
OSU hosts Kansas and Oklahoma. Road for WV, Texas, Texas Tech
TCU hosts Kansas, West Virginia, and Kansas State. Road for BU and Texas.

I suspect that Iowa State will finish 7-11, OSU will finish 8-10, and TCU will finish 8-10.
 
I'm pretty sure that to be 3 games out of first in second in the Big 12, AND to be four games ahead of the nearest pursuers, is a totally unprecedented event in the history of of the conference.

I can't quite get a grip on what it means about the other schools, but I'd say that Baylor and OU pretty much have punched their tickets to the Big Dance.
 
12-0 Baylor

10-3 Oklahoma

6-7 Iowa State
6-7 Oklahoma State
6-7 TCU

5-7 Kansas State (hosts Texas Tech at 1:00
5-7 West Virginia (at Baylor at 4:00)

5-8 Texas

4-8 Texas Tech

4-9 Kansas

Iowa State hosts Baylor, Oklahoma, and Texas Tech. Road for WV and KU.
OSU hosts Kansas and Oklahoma. Road for WV, Texas, Texas Tech
TCU hosts Kansas, West Virginia, and Kansas State. Road for BU and Texas.

I suspect that Iowa State will finish 7-11, OSU will finish 8-10, and TCU will finish 8-10.

I expect Iowa State to finish either 8-10 or 9-9.

I expect OSU to finish either 8-10 or 9-9.

I expect TCU to finish 8-10.

It is interesting that none of the 3 play each other again this season.

I do hope that a couple of them finish 9-9 because I am worried about how hard it may be to get conference teams in the tournament this year. As they lose conference games their overall season records also take a hit.
 
RPIratings.com elevated OU from 31st to 26th in their rankings yesterday, in spite of the fact that their SOS fell from #3 to #7.

They'll get that back and more when they play Baylor 10 days from now. That's when I predict OU will make the RPI top 15 with the #1 SOS in the country, out of 249 teams.
 
A first round NCAA appearance is worth about $100,000 in shares of television and other revenue. Each round after the first the reward pool grows. We need at least four in the tourney for the health of the conference.
 
A first round NCAA appearance is worth about $100,000 in shares of television and other revenue. Each round after the first the reward pool grows. We need at least four in the tourney for the health of the conference.

We'll get four in the tournament just from the strength of the conference, It wouldn't surprise me if we get 5. With the exception of Baylor and OU, the others won't have very high seeds, but that could serve for some upsets from playing a tough conference schedule.
 
I notice that #25 South Florida lost to East Carolina. #20 George Washington lost earlier this week to St. Louis. Some of the mid-majors are not able to remain undefeated in conference play.
 
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