13 conference wins and Lon Kruger will be in the discussion for National Coach of the Year. Let's assume for argument's sake that we'll win these 4 --> TTech, Texas, WVU and @TCU. We should be at least a touchdown favorite in all four of those games. That gets us to 9 wins.
No hiccups above would mean we need to win 4 of these --> OSU, BU, KSU, @WVU, @KU, @OSU, @ISU. For this to happen, we likely need to win those three home games. All will be tough. Baylor may seem like a win at this point, but like WTSooner pointed out, they can beat anyone if they get hot. We have a great shot at beating WVU in their house. I just don't see us winning in Ames, Lawrence or Stillwater. At the moment, though, we can go 13-5 without winning any of those three...but we would have to run the table with all the other games.
I still see us going 12-6, and that's only if we beat OSU Monday night. Otherwise, I'm dropping my prediction to 11-7.