KSU Prediction Thread

[BigTime]

I think the Wildcats will play well but I think the Sooners will be ready.

Sooners 72
KSU 61

 

[BoulderSooner]

we dominate them .. 84-59

 

[Soonerman]

I too think we beat them pretty well.

OU- 77
KSU- 62

 

[DenverSooner]

I like your 15 point spread.

I will say 78-61

 

[Chaser728]

I think we had of them under 50 points. 65-48 Sooners. Marcus Foster might go off but as I heard the other day on sports radio 810 in KC: "There is no Robin to Marcus Fosters Batman."

 

[scrybe]

I like to predict winners; not real high on predicting final scores. But I'll give it a go.

Not sure Kruger will want to run up the score on his alma mater. So I'd guess the Sooners will build a big second-half lead, Coach will call off the dogs and we'll wind up with a score that's something like:

OU 80
KSU 71

 

[Laxtothemax12]

I like to predict winners; not real high on predicting final scores. But I'll give it a go.

Not sure Kruger will want to run up the score on his alma mater. So I'd guess the Sooners will build a big second-half lead, Coach will call off the dogs and we'll wind up with a score that's something like:

OU 80
KSU 71

most points we have given up is 69, I don't think KSU will be the first team to break 70; Good guys 72-bad guys 63

 

[DenverSooner]

I like to predict winners; not real high on predicting final scores. But I'll give it a go.

Not sure Kruger will want to run up the score on his alma mater. So I'd guess the Sooners will build a big second-half lead, Coach will call off the dogs and we'll wind up with a score that's something like:

OU 80
KSU 71

I don't think Kruger wants to run up the score on anyone but I think he wants his team to play hard for forty minutes. I think the second part is far more important to him than the final margin of a win. I know if I were a coach, I would not be happy with my team if they were up 12 with 8 minutes left and squeaked out a 2 or 3 point win because closing like that will lead to 2-3 loss just as easily. I would want my guys to win every media TO segment of the game with the possible exception of the final segment when I had a big lead. In that final segment, I would want to see disciplined offense that ran some clock with great defense that did not give up easy scoring opportunities.

 

[OUBig12Champs]

I think this will be a tight game, but OU puts some distance between the two teams late....

OU 68
KSU 56

 

[DenverSooner]

most points we have given up is 69, I don't think KSU will be the first team to break 70; Good guys 72-bad guys 63

I agree. Additionally, KSU is only averaging 66.2 points per game. OU is one of the best teams KSU has played and it is in Norman.

 

[Keller Sooner]

Ou-77
ksu-66

 

[MNsooner]

OU-75
KSU-63

I think we have another good game and KSU struggles to score.

 

[stormspencer]

Being a computer geek (sort of...not really), but this is what the metrics/analytics tell us about tomorrow:
K-State actually shoots the ball relatively well from a percentage standpoint (Effective FG %). Their problem is that don't play at a very fast pace, thus the amount of possessions they will have during a game is generally lower. Therefore they don't score "alot" of points (Kenpom #121 offensive efficiency). And OU is a tremendous defensive team as far as e-FG% is concerned.

And here is what is ironic, most teams that have a good e-FG% on offense and play at a slower pace...usually have good to decent defense. But K-State is not good on defense..... at least when you look beyond the initial PPG stat.....when compared to just about everyone in the rest of the conference. They have the worst e-FG% defense in the conference. And OU has a very good e-FG% on offense.

They don't really rebound all that well because they are small up front. Also their SOS is in the lower half of division I...so to a degree, they have accumulated these stats against "less than stellar" competition.

Translation: is that if you give K-State open looks, then can make them. But OU should pretty much lock them down...if they are focused. OU will also get pretty much what they want on offense and will probably control the glass as well on missed shots.

Unless K-State shoots lights out, we will control this game and probably win some where around 15-18 range. But again, this is based on probabilities, not as a predictor.

 

[MrAnderson]

Nice post. OU is favored by 14.5 per 5dimes.

 

[inoref]

Ou 74 ksu 66

 

[chuckb]

73-57 good guys.

 

[DenverSooner]

How is effective Field Goal Percentage calculated? Do they simply divide made shots by possessions?

 

[SoonerTraveler]

Heard the flu bug has hit some OU players. Don't know which ones. This could be a tighter game than many expect.

Apparently, the flu vaccine was not effective against some of the flu strains making the rounds.

 

[stormspencer]

How is effective Field Goal Percentage calculated? Do they simply divide made shots by possessions?

It's just like regular field goal percentage (FGM/FGA) but with an added parameter. This parameter adjusts for the fact that 3-pt field goals are worth 50% more than 2-pt field goals.

For example Buddy goes 5/10 from the field for 50% FG%, but if 2 of the 5 shots he made were 3 pointers, then his e-FG% would calculate as: 1+1+1+1.5+1.5/10, thus Buddy would have a 60% e-FG%. Hope that makes since.

 

[skyvue]

Heard the flu bug has hit some OU players. Don't know which ones. This could be a tighter game than many expect.

Yikes. I don't like the sound of that.