None of that staff values how teams change over the year. It's a mix of the entire season. I think today, TT beats Creighton on a neutral floor.
And you are right about the road games. I think I picked up the KU loss as a road game. Obviously it wasn't. But the last three road games still have featured three games where we were down double digit points at some point. Against KSU we were down 15 as late as 2:30 left to go. I don't care that we were able to make it closer the rest of the way, that game could have easily been a 10+ point loss. Against Baylor, they were up by 8+ points most of the game. Credit to OU for keeping it that close most of the way. And ISU stomped us from the get go.
I'd bet that TT carries a sizeable lead for most of the game. Might OU chip away and get it below 10 at the end of the game? Sure.
But you can't move goalposts. I agree with a lot of what you said, but you can use a hypothetical in an argument of facts.