2021/2022 Bracketology catch all ..

[BoulderSooner]

Re: 2021 Bracketology catch all ..

What am I missing with all the Baylor talk? Is KU not in position to be the #1 seed?

Three wins from now would be wins over WVU, KSU, and WVU again. If we beat WVU in the Big 12 Tourney, currently, we'd face KU. I'd rather face KU than Baylor, even in KC.

But KU plays TCUx2 and Texas. They win out, they are the #1 seed, and that is who we'd play, unless there are facts unknown to me.

if OU beats WVU and ksu the worst they can be is in a tie with ksu (and have the h2h tie breaker ) (this was before ksu lost last night .. now with 2 wins OU will be ahead of ksu .

so if OU wins the next 2 they will be the 7 seed and play the 2 seed in KC ..

 

[WTSooner]

Re: 2021 Bracketology catch all ..

if OU beats WVU and ksu the worst they can be is in a tie with ksu (and have the h2h tie breaker ) (this was before ksu lost last night .. now with 2 wins OU will be ahead of ksu .

so if OU wins the next 2 they will be the 7 seed and play the 2 seed in KC ..

Ahh, wasn't even thinking about it from that angle. That kind of sucks. We could have used the extra win against WVU, and the better matchup against KU.

 

[SoonerBounce13]

Re: 2021 Bracketology catch all ..

To reiterate, I think we are a lock if we win the next three. Simply because it means we beat either Baylor or Tech (more likely Baylor) in KC. Needless to say that is beyond a long shot. Let’s say we win two… there are two ways we would NOT play Baylor—- Baylor loses to ISU in Waco and Tech wins in Stilly OR KU loses two of final three and Tech and Baylor both win.

My totally arbitrary take is this…

55% chance we beat WVU
20% chance we beat KSU
10% chance we would beat Baylor in KC
25% chance we would beat Tech in KC

I’m no math wizard, but if you add up all of my probabilities and account for winning all three, I’m thinking we have less than a 5% chance to get this done. The only other way I can possibly see us making it as an at large with another loss would be if we split the next two, win the play in game, and then knock off the #1 seed in KC. Beyond long shot here. So for now I’m just hoping they keep it alive game to game. Beat WVU and the game in Manhattan Sat at least matters.

I think we are more likely to beat KSU than tech in KC.

KSU isn't a great team. If we can't win that game in a must win, we don't deserve post season play.

 

[AdaSooner]

Re: 2021 Bracketology catch all ..

I think we are more likely to beat KSU than tech in KC.

KSU isn't a great team. If we can't win that game in a must win, we don't deserve post season play.

Tech barely squeaked by KSU on their own floor last night. The color guy got a little loud when the officials failed to blow the whistle on what I, too, thought were two obvious fouls. Both no-calls favored the home team of course.

 

[BoulderSooner]

Re: 2021 Bracketology catch all ..

the Athletic update from 1 hour ago has OU in the "next 4 out"

https://theathletic.com/3161354/202...a-potentially-memorable-march-for-mid-majors/

 

[BoulderSooner]

Re: 2021 Bracketology catch all ..

the Athletic update from today

OU is in https://theathletic.com/3166518/2022/03/11/bracket-watch-xavier-and-wake-forest-hold-on-for-now/

OU a 12 in the first 4 and last 4 in