2025 NCAA Tourney Bracketology

[WichitaSooner]

Good catch on Nebraska.....I had forgotten about them not even making the Big 10 tournament. They haven't won a game since Feb. 16th. At that time, they were 17-9.

I mistakenly left out the ACC....Duke, Clemson, or Louisville need to win that tournament. And one of those teams is very likely to win it.

Yep if Duke takes out the winner of the potential UNC/Wake game in the semis, we should be good there unless there is a Cinderella on the other side of the bracket.

 

[WichitaSooner]

The Athletic has us in Dayton in this morning’s bracket. In the immediate aftermath of Saturday’s game, I thought we might be in decent shape, but we haven’t gotten much of a bump in any of the brackets I’ve seen. I think a loss Wednesday leaves us very vulnerable, especially if it’s a clunker like last year’s TCU game.

 

[SoonerDutch]

Beating UGA would be helpful for sure.

OU is on 96/103 on bracket matrix as of this morning.

Gonzaga and Saint Mary’s are most relevant games of the day?

 

[WichitaSooner]

OU is on 96/103 on bracket matrix as of this morning.

Gonzaga and Saint Mary’s are most relevant games of the day?

Those brackets are assuming no bid thieves in conference tourneys.

 

[SoonerDutch]

Those brackets are assuming no bid thieves in conference tourneys.

Lol, thanks for clarifying.

What games are important today?

 

[BoulderSooner]

Lol, thanks for clarifying.

What games are important today?

saint marys vs pepperdine and the Zags vs San franciso

Saint marys and the zags are in either way so we want both of them to win ..

that is really all that is fully relevant today ..

 

[cbertus6]

saint marys vs pepperdine and the Zags vs San franciso

Saint marys and the zags are in either way so we want both of them to win ..

Pepperdine isn’t very good, but are crazy hot right now. The bid stealer, if there is one, is likely to be San Fran as they’re actually pretty decent

 

[BoulderSooner]

espn bubble watch now has OU above Vandy also

Men's Bubble Watch: Drake is a lock, won't steal a bid

As Selection Sunday nears, let's track which teams can play their way in or out of the NCAA tournament.

www.espn.com

 

[cbertus6]

I just checked where most of the 5 most accurate bracketologists on bracket matrix had us and pretty much all of them had us as the 2nd or 3rd to last team in. A loss to UGA coupled with a few bid stealers still puts us in the danger zone. A win should pretty much seal us as a tourney team.

 

[BoulderSooner]

I just checked where most of the 5 most accurate bracketologists on bracket matrix had us and pretty much all of them had us as the 2nd or 3rd to last team in. A loss to UGA coupled with a few bid stealers still puts us in the danger zone. A win should pretty much seal us as a tourney team.

i think OU is likely higher then that currently .. but we shall see

 

[hoopsaustin]

i think OU is likely higher then that currently .. but we shall see

Based on gut?

 

[Boom Soon]

Just beat Georgia and make everyones’ lives easier.

 

[stormspencer]

Based on gut?

I agree with Boulder.....and it's based upon comparing teams' resumes that are around us. If you compare us to Xavier, NC, Boise Indiana, San Diego State, etc., we have a lot more Q-1 wins and that is really the biggest differentiator. OU hasn't proven that they can beat elite teams, but they've certainly proven that can beat good tournament teams. In a post above, I mentioned the lack of good wins by bubble teams, which corresponds to the bubble being a little "weaker" this year.

 

[IndySooner]

I agree with Boulder.....and it's based upon comparing teams' resumes that are around us. If you compare us to Xavier, NC, Boise Indiana, San Diego State, etc., we have a lot more Q-1 wins and that is really the biggest differentiator. OU hasn't proven that they can beat elite teams, but they've certainly proven that can beat good tournament teams. In a post above, I mentioned the lack of good wins by bubble teams, which corresponds to the bubble being a little "weaker" this year.

I think too much weight is being put on our conference slate by the bracketologists.

Personally, I think we are in, for the reasons you’ve stated. I also think we are likely ahead of Vandy and possibly Arkansas on the curve. And when you look at “Bubble Watch” our resume is better than every single non SEC team on there.

But I also thought we were in for sure this time last year…

 

[WichitaSooner]

If the field were being selected today, we would be in. But the margins between us and several other bubble teams are razor thin. If we lose first round and those teams all win a game or more, we will be in trouble. And because one of our biggest blemishes is our number of blowout losses, we need to avoid another noncompetitive game.

I wonder whether Sam will play. Again, it is beating a dead horse, but the lack of meaningful reporting on the basketball program is so annoying. 800 media members breathlessly report on Brent blathering on for eight hours without saying anything significant last week, but the status of a starter for the conference tournament merits no reporting, apparently.

 

[IndySooner]

If the field were being selected today, we would be in. But the margins between us and several other bubble teams are razor thin. If we lose first round and those teams all win a game or more, we will be in trouble. And because one of our biggest blemishes is our number of blowout losses, we need to avoid another noncompetitive game.

I wonder whether Sam will play. Again, it is beating a dead horse, but the lack of meaningful reporting on the basketball program is so annoying. 800 media members breathlessly report on Brent blathering on for eight hours without saying anything significant last week, but the status of a starter for the conference tournament merits no reporting, apparently.

They know where their bread is buttered.

Actually, no one needs me blabbering about my disappointment in our fans, or needs the talking heads at the SEC Network to bag on us. The lack of media attention should tell you all you need to know about our fan support.

 

[BoulderSooner]

Based on gut?

a little and based on blind comparisons with those around us .. (not saying we are way higher but 3 or 4 spots)

 

[cmdsooner]

Pepperdine isn’t very good, but are crazy hot right now. The bid stealer, if there is one, is likely to be San Fran as they’re actually pretty decent

San Francisco is good but Marcus Williams being ruled out bc of the gambling investigation really hurts them.

 

[WichitaSooner]

Just saw another fairly successful bracket guy with us in Dayton. It's going to be a long four days if we lose Wednesday.

 

[cbertus6]

Here's a hypothetical for everyone that I don't think is crazy likely, but certainly possible. Say we lose to UGA on Wednesday, and the Horns knock off Vandy and take down their heated rival to make it to the SEC quarters. Does Texas jump us? Other teams still potentially able to pass us on the bubble with a run in their tourney (but not winning it) include Xavier, Boise, UNC, and Colorado State. The MW is a prime conference to have a bid stealer. The ACC could produce one too if UNC or Wake win their conference. A loss to UGA would really open a lot of doors that I'd rather be locked.