Besides winning at least a game in the Big 12 tournament, it would certainly help OU's cause (i.e. help my blood pressure) if the group of teams on the 3/4 line were to lose early or at least not make a run in the conference tournament. Also, Maryland losing today at Nebraska wouldn't hurt either.
Depends what the other 2/3 seeds do. Us winning big 12 could knock Kansas to a 3 and us to a 2, and then you never know what Arizona and Gonzaga will do. Notre Dame could also play their way up there by winning ACC or getting to final
I'll be shocked if, no matter what we do, in the end we aren't a three. I think we've earned it and are locked in. I don't think we will go higher or lower. The only way my mind could get changed is if one of the 3/4 contenders wins its conference tourney.