Bubble Watch catch all ..

Palms bubble break down says there are no bubble teams in the big 12.
 
the Athletic has 17 teams left for 8 spots (this does not account for bid thieves ie one bid leagues having a champ possible lose or a team out winning a big conf tournament)

ESPN has 17 teams for 5 spots ..


The Athletic =A
ESPN =E
* = new

Team Net/SOS Record Q1/Q2/Q3/Q4

VT 37/83 AE 19-12 1-5 4-5 8-2 6-0
Miami 59/142 AE 22-9 4-1 5-5 9-3 4-0
Notre Dame 50/75 AE 21-9 2-6 2-2 11-1 6-0

OU 42/7 AE 17-14 3-11 6-2 2-1 6-0

Xavier 36/31 AE 18-12 5-9 4-2 5-1 4-0

Michigan 31/5 AE 17-13 5-9 3-3 6-1 3-0
Indiana 44/48 AE 18-12 3-7 3-4 5-1 7-0
Rutgers 76/36 AE 18-12 6-5 3-4 4-2 5-1

Florida 54/43 AE 19-12 2-9 4-2 6-0 7-1
TAMU 56/54 E 19-11 3-8 3-1 5-2 8-0

SMU 49/106 AE 22-7 2-2 3-3 9-1 8-1
Memphis 35/73 A 19-9 4-3 3-4 7-2 5-0

North Texas 43/138 AE 21-5 1-1 5-2 5-2 10-0
BYU 55/64 AE 20-10 4-6 3-3 3-0 10-1 (no more games)
VCU 51/95 AE 21-8 2-3 4-4 11-1 4-0
South Dakota St 72/241 E 26-4 0-2 2-0 10-1 14-1 (favorite in their conf)
Wyoming 48/97 AE 23-7 4-4 5-1 5-2 9-0
Dayton 52/117 AE 22-9 2-2 6-3 5-1 9-3

todays update
 
Last edited:
from ESPN

Oklahoma Sooners
That sound you just heard was the staff of Bubble Watch joining in a collective cackle of smug delight. "Why do you still have Oklahoma in Bubble Watch?" everyone said. True, we did threaten OU with expulsion from the Watch at one point, but, hey, we run a tight ship here. Anyway, look at Porter Moser's team now. Oklahoma closed the season with three straight wins, including a Quadrant 1 road victory at Kansas State. It might take mock brackets a day or so to dust off OU's name again, but make no mistake. The Sooners are lurking. (updated March 5)
Click to expand...

from The Athletic

Oklahoma (17-14, 7-11; NET: 42, SOS: 7): It is easy to get too caught up on Quadrant 1 and miss some of the other decent stuff a team has done. This is true of mid-majors at-large candidates, who often have a (much-lamented) dearth of Q1 opportunities on their resume. But it can also be true of a team like Oklahoma, which is 3-11 against Quadrant 1 but 6-2 against Quadrant 2. If the Sooners hadn’t had so many chances for big wins on their very difficult schedule, and you just saw three Q1 wins, six versus the second quadrant and a bunch of victories over cupcakes instead — well, that’s a resume some ACC teams would die for. We still don’t think OU is very likely to get in the field, but there is something bubble-worthy here, anyway, especially now that OU finished with three straight wins and faces Baylor on a neutral court on Thursday.
Click to expand...
 
OU is 4th out per bracket matrix ...

OU wins Thursday they are in ...
 
Our sos should finish in top 5 after playing Baylor
 
I continue to proclaim on my death on the hill of beating Baylor locks us in. We are somewhere between the first (most optimistic) and tenth (least optimistic) team out. A win over a top team like Baylor wouldn’t inch us up— it would launch us up. It would take absolute crazy shenanigans to keep us out if we beat Baylor. Playing the Bears is a blessing/curse. We really need one more win. Kinda stinks it’s against such a good team. But BECAUSE they are so good, that likely keeps it as ONLY needing one win.

This is likely all moot. But I do think a win would leave us breathing easy.
 
I think we need a little more help than a Baylor win can provide. We're slotted in the tourney in only 9 of 129 brackets per the Matrix.

Hope I'm wrong. Only one way to find out.
 
Last edited:
OUSKINS said:
I continue to proclaim on my death on the hill of beating Baylor locks us in. We are somewhere between the first (most optimistic) and tenth (least optimistic) team out. A win over a top team like Baylor wouldn’t inch us up— it would launch us up. It would take absolute crazy shenanigans to keep us out if we beat Baylor. Playing the Bears is a blessing/curse. We really need one more win. Kinda stinks it’s against such a good team. But BECAUSE they are so good, that likely keeps it as ONLY needing one win.

This is likely all moot. But I do think a win would leave us breathing easy.
Click to expand...

i think this is exactly correct
 
OUSKINS said:
I continue to proclaim on my death on the hill of beating Baylor locks us in. We are somewhere between the first (most optimistic) and tenth (least optimistic) team out. A win over a top team like Baylor wouldn’t inch us up— it would launch us up. It would take absolute crazy shenanigans to keep us out if we beat Baylor. Playing the Bears is a blessing/curse. We really need one more win. Kinda stinks it’s against such a good team. But BECAUSE they are so good, that likely keeps it as ONLY needing one win.

This is likely all moot. But I do think a win would leave us breathing easy.
Click to expand...

Hold the line
 
the Athletic has 17 teams left for 7 spots (this does not account for bid thieves ie one bid leagues having a champ possible lose or a team out winning a big conf tournament)

ESPN has 16 teams for 7 spots ..


The Athletic =A
ESPN =E
* = new

Team Net/SOS Record Q1/Q2/Q3/Q4

VT 37/83 AE 19-12 1-5 4-5 8-2 6-0
Miami 59/142 AE 22-9 4-1 5-5 9-3 4-0
Notre Dame 50/75 AE 21-9 2-6 2-2 11-1 6-0

OU 43/7 AE 17-14 3-11 6-2 2-1 6-0

Xavier 36/31 AE 18-12 5-9 4-2 5-1 4-0

Michigan 31/5 AE 17-13 5-9 3-3 6-1 3-0
Indiana 44/48 AE 18-12 3-7 3-4 5-1 7-0
Rutgers 76/36 AE 18-12 6-5 3-4 4-2 5-1

Florida 54/43 AE 19-12 2-9 4-2 6-0 7-1
TAMU 56/54 E 19-11 3-8 3-1 5-2 8-0

SMU 49/106 AE 22-7 2-2 3-3 9-1 8-1
Memphis 35/73 A 19-9 4-3 3-4 7-2 5-0

North Texas 42/138 AE 21-5 1-1 5-2 5-2 10-0
BYU 55/64 AE 20-10 4-6 3-3 3-0 10-1 (no more games)
VCU 51/95 AE 21-8 2-3 4-4 11-1 4-0
Wyoming 48/97 AE 23-7 4-4 5-1 5-2 9-0
Dayton 52/117 AE 22-9 2-2 6-3 5-1 9-3

todays update from ESPN Athletic is from yesterday
 
BoulderSooner said:
the Athletic has 17 teams left for 7 spots (this does not account for bid thieves ie one bid leagues having a champ possible lose or a team out winning a big conf tournament)

ESPN has 16 teams for 7 spots ..


The Athletic =A
ESPN =E
* = new

Team Net/SOS Record Q1/Q2/Q3/Q4

VT 37/83 AE 19-12 1-5 4-5 8-2 6-0
Miami 59/142 AE 22-9 4-1 5-5 9-3 4-0
Notre Dame 50/75 AE 21-9 2-6 2-2 11-1 6-0

OU 43/7 AE 17-14 3-11 6-2 2-1 6-0

Xavier 36/31 AE 18-12 5-9 4-2 5-1 4-0

Michigan 31/5 AE 17-13 5-9 3-3 6-1 3-0
Indiana 44/48 AE 18-12 3-7 3-4 5-1 7-0
Rutgers 76/36 AE 18-12 6-5 3-4 4-2 5-1

Florida 54/43 AE 19-12 2-9 4-2 6-0 7-1
TAMU 56/54 E 19-11 3-8 3-1 5-2 8-0

SMU 49/106 AE 22-7 2-2 3-3 9-1 8-1
Memphis 35/73 A 19-9 4-3 3-4 7-2 5-0

North Texas 42/138 AE 21-5 1-1 5-2 5-2 10-0
BYU 55/64 AE 20-10 4-6 3-3 3-0 10-1 (no more games)
VCU 51/95 AE 21-8 2-3 4-4 11-1 4-0
Wyoming 48/97 AE 23-7 4-4 5-1 5-2 9-0
Dayton 52/117 AE 22-9 2-2 6-3 5-1 9-3

todays update from ESPN Athletic is from yesterday
Click to expand...

The SOS numbers for the ACC teams tells us all we need to know about how weak that league is this season. I've seen Wake on the bubble in some places, while others seem to think they are in. Let's just say it wouldn't be a bad thing for OU if they lose to a terrible BC today.
 
BoulderSooner said:
the Athletic has 17 teams left for 7 spots (this does not account for bid thieves ie one bid leagues having a champ possible lose or a team out winning a big conf tournament)

ESPN has 16 teams for 7 spots ..


The Athletic =A
ESPN =E
* = new

Team Net/SOS Record Q1/Q2/Q3/Q4

VT 37/83 AE 19-12 1-5 4-5 8-2 6-0
Miami 59/142 AE 22-9 4-1 5-5 9-3 4-0
Notre Dame 50/75 AE 21-9 2-6 2-2 11-1 6-0

OU 43/7 AE 17-14 3-11 6-2 2-1 6-0

Xavier 36/31 AE 18-12 5-9 4-2 5-1 4-0

Michigan 31/5 AE 17-13 5-9 3-3 6-1 3-0
Indiana 44/48 AE 18-12 3-7 3-4 5-1 7-0
Rutgers 76/36 AE 18-12 6-5 3-4 4-2 5-1

Florida 54/43 AE 19-12 2-9 4-2 6-0 7-1
TAMU 56/54 E 19-11 3-8 3-1 5-2 8-0

SMU 49/106 AE 22-7 2-2 3-3 9-1 8-1
Memphis 35/73 A 19-9 4-3 3-4 7-2 5-0

North Texas 42/138 AE 21-5 1-1 5-2 5-2 10-0
BYU 55/64 AE 20-10 4-6 3-3 3-0 10-1 (no more games)
VCU 51/95 AE 21-8 2-3 4-4 11-1 4-0
Wyoming 48/97 AE 23-7 4-4 5-1 5-2 9-0
Dayton 52/117 AE 22-9 2-2 6-3 5-1 9-3

todays update from ESPN Athletic is from yesterday
Click to expand...

I feel like we are closer to an at large bid that most people think. We compare pretty well to the above and our strength of schedule is far higher than all of those teams.
 
WichitaSooner said:
The SOS numbers for the ACC teams tells us all we need to know about how weak that league is this season. I've seen Wake on the bubble in some places, while others seem to think they are in. Let's just say it wouldn't be a bad thing for OU if they lose to a terrible BC today.
Click to expand...

Down goes Wake Forest But please someone in the ACC beat Boston College so they don't steal an at-large bid.
 
Great upset!! Wake is done, go butler bulldogs now!!!
 
dksooner said:
Great upset!! Wake is done, go butler bulldogs now!!!
Click to expand...

I don't know if this absolutely knocks them out, but it certainly puts them in serious trouble if other bubble teams play well the next few games.
 
WichitaSooner said:
I don't know if this absolutely knocks them out, but it certainly puts them in serious trouble if other bubble teams play well the next few games.
Click to expand...

Agreed Wichita. They likely fall below us in NET with this quad 3 loss but their record is still strong. Going to be tight!
 
Butler takes out Xavier. That is a daily double for ou.
 
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