GAME 21 - OKLAHOMA (16-5) @ #1 AUBURN (20-1) 8:00pm CST on SEC NETWORK

[Boom Soon]

ESPN’s model gives us a 45 percent chance of making the tournament. The blurb said their model is more skeptical of us than most, and it’s because of the significant increase in the difficulty of the schedule, beginning last night.

Saturday seems like a must-win. If we lose, we would have to run the table at home the rest of the way to get to 7 conference wins. Moser has never shown the ability to put together a consistent stretch like that in conference play, even at home. A loss Saturday and we have zero margin for error.

45% seems about right given the schedule. The difference between 16 and 18 wins (which is where they needed to be) is staggering right now.

I think they’ll probably win two more. Hope to be wrong.

 

[IndySooner]

Calling a game against the #4 team in the country a “must win” is certainly something…

 

[WichitaSooner]

Calling a game against the #4 team in the country a “must win” is certainly something…

I guess it depends how low you’ve allowed your expectations to fall. If you don’t care about making the tourney or are happy with moral victories if we kind of/sort of compete, sure thing. No game is a must win in that case.

 

[Boom Soon]

I guess it depends how low you’ve allowed your expectations to fall. If you don’t care about making the tourney or are happy with moral victories if we kind of/sort of compete, sure thing. No game is a must win in that case.

Just about every home game was a “must win” when OU was undefeated going into conference play. It’s especially true now that they dropped two home games they should have won.

It has less to do with how good Tennessee is, and more to do with OU’s situation.

 

[cvangild]

Not sure I would call the Tenn game a must win, but it would certainly make life a lot easier if we can snag one against a Top 5 team. Of course the game is at 11:00 AM, and our crowd support is simply embarrassing. It makes me even more irritated when I see the other home crowds across the SEC. We are 16-6, not 6-16...there's zero reason to not be at least 75% full.

Tenn is beatable and has lost some games on the road, but I feel our best chances for wins are: LSU, MS, Mizzou at home. Kentucky is also very beatable and we have them in Normas as well. I think 4 more wins gets us in. The road games will be tough to snag a win. We are @ Mizzou, Florida, Miss and UT. I don't know if we can win any of those...we'd def have to have a great shooting night. The margin for error isn't big, but it's doable. Winning Sat increases that 45% chance to maybe 60% imo.

 

[hoopsaustin]

Not sure I would call the Tenn game a must win, but it would certainly make life a lot easier if we can snag one against a Top 5 team. Of course the game is at 11:00 AM, and our crowd support is simply embarrassing. It makes me even more irritated when I see the other home crowds across the SEC. We are 16-6, not 6-16...there's zero reason to not be at least 75% full.

Tenn is beatable and has lost some games on the road, but I feel our best chances for wins are: LSU, MS, Mizzou at home. Kentucky is also very beatable and we have them in Normas as well. I think 4 more wins gets us in. The road games will be tough to snag a win. We are @ Mizzou, Florida, Miss and UT. I don't know if we can win any of those...we'd def have to have a great shooting night. The margin for error isn't big, but it's doable. Winning Sat increases that 45% chance to maybe 60% imo

pm has eroded the trust and enthusiasm. He needed to not blow a&m at least (and prolly tejas too)

 

[61sooner]

Was at the Vandy game and don't think LNC was 50% full. On top of that the crowd began to leave 3 or 4 minutes before.
the game was over. You would think fans would stick to the end and savior a really good win.

 

[TINY]

Was at the Vandy game and don't think LNC was 50% full. On top of that the crowd began to leave 3 or 4 minutes before.
the game was over. You would think fans would stick to the end and savior a really good win.

Worst fans in the country by a huge margin

 

[TEvans4Three]

I guess it depends how low you’ve allowed your expectations to fall. If you don’t care about making the tourney or are happy with moral victories if we kind of/sort of compete, sure thing. No game is a must win in that case.

Come on, you know that is not what they are saying.

We need to win (at least) 4 out of the next 9.

The #4 team is not a MUST WIN. It would be a great win and would easily help our resume. But not a MUST WIN.

LSU, Miss St, One of the Missouri games, and Kentucky are MUST WINS.

The others are good boosters and nice to haves.

 

[IndySooner]

Come on, you know that is not what they are saying.

We need to win (at least) 4 out of the next 9.

The #4 team is not a MUST WIN. It would be a great win and would easily help our resume. But not a MUST WIN.

LSU, Miss St, One of the Missouri games, and Kentucky are MUST WINS.

The others are good boosters and nice to haves.

I agree with this except I actually think three wins plus one in the tourney would get us in. So, four overall. And three might even without a tourney win, but I wouldn't want to be sitting on Selection Sunday in that situation again...

 

[IndySooner]

pm has eroded the trust and enthusiasm. He needed to not blow a&m at least (and prolly tejas too)

There was no enthusiasm to erode.

 

[hoopsaustin]

There was no enthusiasm to erode.

You discount pm's past failings against big rivals. Isn't he like 0-8 against Texas now? Idk if he's ever even beaten kansas before, surely he has at least once. The pokes had our number too for a while. It adds up.