So why am I so wrong? Seems like you agree with me:
we both agree on Osby
we both agree on M'baye
we both agree on Clark
we both agree on Fitz
we disagree on Pledger (big surprise)
I think your opinion on Grooms/Cousins is reasonable although you see him as less stable than I do.
I said Grooms, Pledger, Clark, and Fitz will see less time than last year (just not a drastic cut except for maybe Fitz).
Please help me understand why I coudn't be more wrong in your opinion.
Well, I guess because I think that M'baye and Osby are the only locks.
Cousins, I believe, is the one of the new group that most likely has the skills to be the biggest immediate impact player. Grooms is good. But, he may have the best one chasing him. And then there is that shooting thing. I think the best Grooms can hope for is a 25/15 split on minutes. It was reported that the staff was absolutely giddy over getting Cousins locked down. The coaches promised him time. And I think that they will give him a big shot.
I believe it was WT that observed M'baye's role will be determined to some degree by how others develope. I think that is true. Fitz doesn't rebound or defend at a high level. That should cost him one way or another. If either Bennet or Arent show up this season with the capability of doing only that, Fitz will get to sit alot more and M'baye would be on the peremiter. Clark then has no spot. If Bennet or Arent aren't able to provide big help, then M'bayes stays inside and Fitz to the bench.
If M'baye is mostly inside, then Clark should start but he would be fending off probably Neal and mayby Heild for minutes. If everyone else is suppose to get better in the off season, Then Neal has the right to get better too. Clark has to get better to have any kind of an edge. I hope Kruger is right about him.
When it come to Pledger. Well, there are a couple of things. Firstly, M'baye is the best player and he will most likely inherit the role as the primary scoring option. Alot of inbound plays and set plays will be run to get the ball to him in scoring position. Some of it will be opportunities that Pledger previously had. Secondly, the last 5/6 games of the season they started getting away from Pledger some and getting more opportunities for Osby. And he responded well.
Even when Pledger is on the floor, I would expect him to have a diminished role.
My position has always been that the only reason Pledger and Fitz were on the floor at all is because they need their point production to have any chance at a win. My prediction is that they will have immediate scoring from M'baye and Osby and a good chance to develope consistant scoring from Clark, Heild,Cousins, or Hornbeak. If it works that way, it is an easy path to get the defensive liabilities off the floor.
Kruger does want to attact on offense and defense. Pledger just lacks the first step quickness and lateral speed to do that. If that 3rd consistant scorer developes, there will be a major shift in minutes. There it is. Fire at will